2013-14 EPL WGOM Prediction Contest

Here's a recap of the rules:

  1. Rank the 20 teams (below) in the order in which you think they'll finish in the table
  2. Put this in the comments below. Please SPOILER your choices so as not to influence other selections.
  3. If you correctly predict the final position of a team, you get three points. If you are wrong, but within one place either way, you get one point.
  4. Correctly picking the champion is worth a bonus point
  5. Correctly picking the relegated teams are worth a bonus point each for a maxiumum of 3 points

First match of the year kicks off at 7:45E/6:45C AM this Saturday, the 17th. You have until kick off to get your picks in. As always, I'll have a Google Spreadsheet with everyone's picks so we can keep track of everything and I'll confer with sean about updating the sidebar scoreboard once everything's set up.

Previous Champions
2012-13: Mags
2011-12: HomerDome

EDIT: THE WGOM PREMIERSHIP IS SET UP. GO HERE AND ENTER THIS AS THE LEAGUE ID 1680942-370510

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Cardiff City
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle United
Norwich City
Southampton
Stoke City
Sunderland
Swansea City
Tottenham Hotspur
West Bromwich Albion
West Ham United

59 thoughts on “2013-14 EPL WGOM Prediction Contest”

  1. I predict that Clint Dempsey will play in the EPL from roughly Dec-Feb. I am unclear about which team will pick him up on a short-term loan, though.

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    1. With Fulham's new American owner, I can see no other destination for a short-term loan.

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    I'm shooting the moon! Also Jozy Altidore with 20 goals for Sunderland in all competitions.

      1. After my post, I thought I was nuts. Glad to see I am not the only one.

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  5. I will not watch a lick of soccer and I know nothing about any of the teams. But I think it would be hilarious if I won, so:

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  6. Thanks to the two newbies - ubes and Beau - for joining in. The following are previous participants who ahve not yet submitted

    Freealonzo
    Spookymilk
    AMR
    davidwatts
    Daneeka's Ghost
    The Dread Pirate
    Me

  7. Oh, why not.

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    I'm going based only on how much I like the logos that I saw when I pulled up each team in Google Images. I like a lot of the bird-based logos.

          1. I think I'll let you have 2 entries. This first one will be just for gits and shiggles. You can submit a proper one later. Im very interested in how this one will turn out.

  8. Sure, I'll join.

    I have no idea what this is. Sort of like fantasy hockey.

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    What did I just do?

    1. This is just the prediction contest. If you want the one that's like fantasy hockey, that link is up at the EDIT. But either way, thanks for trying

      1. Can I edit my entry then? Maybe I'll even get bored enough at work to look some stuff up?

          1. Here's my update:

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  10. I am excited to not finish last.

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  11. Signed up for the Fantasy league. I'm not predicting great things for my club.

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  13. I know absolutely nothing about the EPL, and in fact have never heard of most of the teams. Therefore, my prediction comes to you from a list generated courtesy of random.org.

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      1. It's got Everton and Fulham in the right spot. Plus, if it's right, then Jozy's going to be in Beast Mode for the World Cup.

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      1. As much as it pains me to say

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        I did notice a lot of similarities at the top and bottom, but our mid-tables differ quite a bit.

  15. The most common picks so far:

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  17. I assume this is the same conclusion everyone came to...

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  18. So, typically, of the three teams promoted, how many are relegated the next year?
    Can someone give me a contingency table of promoted teams' persistency in the EPL?

    1. Since 92-93, of the 59 teams promoted, 27 have been relegated in their first season in the EPL.

      Of the 64 teams relegated in that time, 50 of them were relegated within 7 years of promotion.

        1. Duration of clubs relegated since 92-93 season (21 seasons)

          27 relegated after 1 year (this year: Cardiff, Crystal Palace, Hull City)
          8 relegated after 2 years (this year: West Ham, Southampton)
          4 relegated after 3 years (this year: Swansea, Norwich)
          4 relegated after 4 years (this year: W. Brom, Newcastle)
          0 relegated after 5 years
          3 relegated after 6 years (this year: Stoke City)
          4 relegated after 7 years (this year: Sunderland)
          1 relegated after 8 years
          2 relegated after 9 years
          1 relegated after 10 years
          3 relegated after 11 years
          0 relegated after 12 years (this year: Manchester City)
          1 relegated after 13 years (this year: Fulham)
          2 relegated after 14 years

          2 relegated after 16 years

          Chelsea - 25 years since promotion
          Aston Villa - 26 years since promotion

          1 relegated after 28 years

          1 relegated after 34 years

          Manchester United - 39 years since promotion
          Liverpool - 52 years since promotion
          Everton - 60 years since promotion
          Tottenham Hotspur - 64 years since promotion
          Arsenal - 110 years since promotion

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        Did one year only see two promoted teams? (why 59 not 60)?

        How soon are relegated teams back in the EPL on average?
        In other words: is there a tranche of 6-9 teams that are perennially on the cusp between the EPL and the AAA equivalent? Basically AAAA teams?

        1. yeah they went from 22 to 20 teams after 94-95, four teams relegated, two promoted.

          There have been 46 different clubs in the EPL over those 21 seasons (including 7 clubs that have been in every year)

  19. Of the 64 relegated teams, 38 have made it back to the EPL.

    Average time from relegation to promotion - 3.4 seasons.

    16 back after one season - (3 could do it this year)
    7 back after two seasons - (2 could do it this year)
    2 back after three seasons - (2 could do it this year)
    2 back after four seasons - (1 could do it this year)
    3 back after five seasons - (1 could do it this year)
    3 back after six seasons - (1 could do it this year)
    1 back after seven seasons - (2 could do it this year)
    1 back after eight seasons
    1 back after nine seasons
    (2 could be back after ten seasons this year)

    1 back after twelve seasons - (1 could do it this year)

    (1 could be back after fourteen seasons this year)
    1 back after fifteen seasons - (1 could do it this year)
    (1 could be back after sixteen seasons this year)

    1. 8 of those 64 teams are not in the Championship this year.

      18 of the 24 teams in the Championship this season have been in the EPL in the last 21 seasons.

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    2. In the same time period, the most often relegated teams are:

      1 team - 4 times (Crystal Palace)
      7 teams - 3 times (Sunderland, W. Brom)
      12 teams - 2 times (West Ham, Manchester City, Norwich City)
      15 teams - once (Newcastle, Southampton, Hull City)

      11 current EPL teams haven't been relegated from the top division since '93

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    i totally know what i'm doing.

  21. I know it's not quite in under the buzzer, but in case yr feelin' generous.

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