108 thoughts on “December 11, 2014: Vikings”

  1. Is our resident automotive expert around? Trying to learn from the wisdom of the WGOM, I set the parking break when I was out with the car recently. A few hours later, I returned to the car and almost forgot to release the brake, but I did remember. I began driving along and suddenly noticed the dashboard was lit up like a Christmas tree. I pulled off at the next exit, consulted the manual, set and re-released the break, and . . . no change. The car sounded fine and handled normally, so I drove it home. The following day the situation with the lights was the same. The next day, Mr. NaCl was about to drive the car to have the dealership take a look at it when the warning lights all went back to normal.

    So, the immediate issue seems to have resolved itself. But should I ever set the parking brake again?

  2. Its always a little sad when internet friend go silent for weeks or months on end. I understand life happens and maybe had to delete Twitter or Facebook or whatever, but its not like you are ever going to bump into on accident running errands.
    =/

      1. That one's reportedly been in the works for a little while. Supposedly the Padres are interested in having Rene Rivera handle more of the catching since he's shown good results in framing.

        I assume the Firars would play Kemp in right...

  3. A couple of days ago I saw but had no time to comment on the annoyance that the Mission: Impossible movies were star vehicles rather than ensembles. I just wanted to mention that while I was working toward what I thought I wanted - a life in film - one thing that was drilled into me as both a writer and actor was that ensembles were bad business decisions because they make no money on the big screen. I never did a ton of research on this, but have long wondered if it's just one of those things that producers say to each other repeatedly so it becomes conventional wisdom, like "you can't make a baseball movie unless it's not about baseball," another popular bit I've heard over and over. Producers are risk-averse and if they can't promote a strong single lead or pairing, they want nothing to do with the script.

    Frankly, I think they could have had it both ways. You can promote M: I as a Cruise vehicle all you want but in the actual film, make better use of the rest of the team. Of course, the other problem here is that if you don't constantly reassert the awesomeness of the lead in a script, it can be hard to draw a top star.

    Ah, Hollywood.

    1. uh, Avengers anyone? Ensemble film.

      Of course, it's a bit different than a straight ensemble film, since most of the principals have their own individual titles as well. But...

      1. Right. I don't think Avengers would have been made without the franchises building them first. Regardless, I think it would have worked anyway (and indeed, it still would have been marketed as a Stark-heavy film).

        I love ensembles - both writing them and watching them. I don't think studios should fear them.

        1. right. that series definitely paved the way for Avengers and Guardians and for future ensemble movies, such as the Inhumans.

              1. That one was probably an easy sell given the personnel involved. Again, not a perfect franchise by any means, but if it opens the door for more ensembles, I'm all for it.

                1. It's been a while since the last good competition caper movie, eh? I like the subgenre and will watch just about anything made in the style. Believe it or not, I'm intrinsically into narratives where there can be only one winner among many competitors.

                1. I've had some friends that have done it (it's a massive favorite among theater folk, which is intuitive enough).

                  They all say the same thing: difficult as hell, but so worth it.

                  1. I did not expect you to be able to one-up me in the arena of stage, good sir.

                    Who were you? I'm going to guess Tim while admitting that it's impossible to say without seeing all the other actors.

                    1. It was community theater in Pierre, South Dakota, so it was hardly one-upping you, but it was nice of you to put it that way. I played Frederick. He was played in the film by Christopher Reeve, whom I resembled in every detail except, well, all of them.

                      How good we were is a relative thing. I think we were pretty good for a bunch of amateurs in a small town, while realizing that's a long way from actually being good. We did our best, and we had a blast doing it. Other than meeting and marrying Mrs. A, my community theater days were the best thing about my time in Pierre.

                2. Worst play I ever saw was a professional production of Noises Off. All but one character was awful.

                  A high school version of the same was also one of the best plays I ever saw. It's a good show.

    2. I'm mostly bothered by Mission: Impossible (and I Spy, and for God's sake The Wild, Wild West and The Lone Ranger, and countless others) is the hijacking of a TV title and having a barely tenable link to its main premise. Tantamount to fraud.

      1. It's because of how they happen. Often a property is shopped around without a script, and a ton of money is paid for the privilege to make it before anyone but a studio and director is involved. From there, the director starts putting together any movie he wants.

        Alternatively, and this happens a lot in video games too, sometimes the work is completed and then the property is branded. Here's a page where mostly screenwriters cover this phenomenon.

        Some examples from just one single franchise:

        Die Hard was at one time considered as a sequel to Commando, starring Arnold himself. Then the script became a story about terrorists taking a building hostage as a super cop comes to rescue the day.

        Die Hard 2 was based on the novel 58 Minutes. Amazon.com: 58 Minutes (Basis for the Film Die Hard 2) eBook: Walter Wager: Kindle Store

        Die Hard 3 was based on a hot spec script called Simon Sez.

        The hot spec script Simon Sez, which later became the third Die Hard movie, was considered for Lethal Weapon 3. It should be noted that Die Hard 1 and 2 and the Lethal Weapon franchise were produced by Joel Silver.

        The Tears of the Sun TITLE was actually the title for a script that was to be the fourth Die Hard movie, possibly co-staring Ben Affleck, Bruce Willis' co-star in Armageddon. Willis wanted the title for the eventual Navy Seals movie he starred in and promised the studio that if he could have the title he'd help develop what became Live Free or Die Hard, the fourth film of the franchise.

          1. My attitude on the whole thing, taken more or less from Stephen King's book On Writing, is that they can never change your original source material, no matter what they change for the movie. It stopped bugging me a long time ago. If I don't think they're going to do anything interesting with it, it's pretty easy to not watch a movie.

              1. Aye-yup. The real WWW was awesome, and plausibly deserves a refresh that stays true to the spirit of the original.

              2. I'd winkingly argue that nowhere near a whole generation bothered to see that movie, but yes, I get your point. I wonder, though, if the extremely bad press toward the movie - for the reason you outlined - made more people go out and find it than if it had actually been a good movie that was faithful to the show. Who wants to do a scientific experiment?!?!?!?

                1. Seriously, did anyone need to see the movie to know that it was garbage? Some great actors threw away time on that project. But yeah, it may have raised awareness towards the show.

            1. my attitude is that it's crassly false advertising. You take a known brand name (e.g., any TV show) and hollow it out to refill with a mostly different approach and vibe, then you are selling a bill of goods.

              with something like a Tom Cruise vehicle, what, exactly, is the point? You market the thing as Tom Cruise.

              I recognize that some film realizations are as good or better in their own ways than the source material. Eventually the new versions become seen as stand-alone works of art, largely independent of their inspirations. I'm just whining that well-established-and-known source material should not be abused and utterly re-written for crass commercial purposes. If I'm buying a steak dinner, I'd better not be getting fish stew instead.

              1. We don't disagree. I just can't work up the annoyance anymore, is all. A general distrust and cynicism toward Hollywood is just the safest way to go.

        1. And since I'm already referencing the great William Goldman, let me assert that the movie Maverick is awesome.

        2. I had heard about the Die Hard 3 rewrite. Didn't know this happened to a lot of movies, but somehow, I'm not surprised at all.

          So... what piece of trash source material did Indiana Jones 4 start as?

          1. I actually thought about researching that, but I'm still so annoyed that Frank Darabont's script was passed over, thanks to Lucas's infinite wisdom, that I didn't want to anger myself by reading more about.

    3. I think that's why I liked Ghost Protocol so much, they did such a great job with the rest of the team. Simon Pegg was great comic relief, and Renner was a great secondary start.

    4. I have nothing really to add to this discussion, and I was waiting for a movie day for this, but I'll say it here anyway. I am totally on board with this new Mad Max flick coming out next year.

      httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtKfNYpXp3c

      1. What made The Road Warrior so awesome was that it didn't rely on CGI. That, and it was practically dialogue-free. Judging by the trailer, this one--not so much.

        I'm more excited for this.
        httpv://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wZfs22E7JmI
        And talk about a cast...

        1. I'm mystified by film's aversion to silence. Long, quiet scenes are some of the most memorable in the hands of an artful director, and we just don't see many anymore.

          I'm with you on Inherent Vice. PTA is one of the only directors who can make excess a good thing.

          1. Vertigo has an amazing 17 minute sequence where there is like 3 lines of dialogue. Silence can be a great mood setter.

    5. Oceans' 11, 12, 13...

      The Magnificent Seven

      The Dirty Dozen

      The Longest Day

      MASH

      Any Monty Python movie

      Kung Fu Hustle

      The Great Escape

      The League of Extroardinary Gentlemen

      Young Guns I & II

      Goonies

      Mars Attacks

      The Breakfast Club

      Mission to Mars

  4. Im just going to leave this here:

    @JonHeymanCBS: kendrys morales gets $17M for 2 years plus 750 incentives each year. $18.5M max. #royals

    1. Well, I mean, he did have a .612 OPS last year while providing absolutely no defensive value. When you get a chance to sign that guy to a multi-year deal, you don't mess around.

  5. The Minnesota Twins selected JR Graham, a RHP from the Braves. A former top prospect in the pitching-strong Braves organization, he was able to throw 100 mph. However, shoulder problems the last two years greatly reduced his fastball, but he did pitch some in 2014.

    Later in the draft, the Twins lost LHP Sean Gilmartin to the New York Mets organization. He came to the Twins from the Braves a year ago in exchange for Ryan Doumit. He split the 2014 season between New Britain and Rochester.
    -Seth Stohs

  6. Gilmartin turns 25 next year and hasn't had any success above AA yet. He may improve, but I don't see him as a big loss. On the other hand, Graham also turns 25 next year and hasn't had any success above Class A yet. He may improve, but I don't see him as a big gain.

  7. The Twins have reportedly signed Ervin Santana to a four year, $54 million dollar deal.

    Well, year one of Nolasco hasn't scared them off of four year contracts then, anyway.

      1. He looks like he's been a fairly decent pitcher for the last several years. He turns thirty-two tomorrow, so four or five years seems like a stretch, but he doesn't have much injury history.

      2. Assuming $13.5 million each year, with $7 million/win that projects him to be two wins next year. Steamer projects 1.8 fWAR and he was worth 2.8 fWAR last year. There's a reasonable case that the price per win is closer to $8 million so that projects him to be worth 1.7 wins next year. This seems to be, in money terms, market rate.

          1. The rest of the years fall out from the first year. The better the player, the more years. Santana arguably was a better fit for three years, but four years and $50 million was set as the going rate for this caliber last year. As Jeff said, injuries haven't been a problem for him, so it's probable he'll beat projections based on that alone. He's done just fine in the AL previously, and in this division, so there's also that. The larger determiner of performance will be defense. So, 2015 might be the bigger concern maybe.

              1. Past performance is not uncorrelated with future results either. He's been healthy so far, so there is likely beat the over/under for innings pitched* next year.

                * By this, I mean if you took all full-time starters in 2013 and found the median number of innings pitched in 2014, there would be a correlation between pitchers historically healthy with those that beat the median. Santana isn't a lock to pitch another 200+ innings. I do think it's reasonable to think he has a greater than 50% chance of beating the projected median.

                1. I'm not sure whether that is a function of forecastable health so much as a quality effect. If injuries are at random, controlling for, say, age (e.g., time-varying parameter), well, they aren't really forecastable. So you have higher-quality pitchers exceeding the median number of innings pitched in a future year more often than low-quality pitchers, systematically.

      3. Looking at who's under contract for next year as a starter, there's Hughes, Nolasco, Pelfrey, Milone, Gibson, May, and whoever from the minors (e.g. Logan Darnell). Adding Santana makes that seven total. I think projecting zero innings from Pelfrey is reasonable, so that's six starters. May and Milone aren't guarantees to start the season with the Twins, plus injuries, so this seems reasonable.

        Going off MLBTR's free agent tracker, Santana was the top starter outside of Scherzer, Lester, and Shields. First two, hah, wasn't happening. Shields I could see as a maybe, but checking FanGraphs' free agent predictions, they would have need to guarantee him $90 million. And those values might all be a bit low.

    1. I'm happy with this for the moment, and think its smart money. But I guess I was happier about RIcky than Phil last year. So what do I know?

  8. Re: this whole Sony hack and the endless stories about filmmaking arguments and insults in the heat of said arguments.

    It is utter bullshit that semi-respectable news outlets are carrying this and even posting entire emails. Anyone who values his or her own privacy shouldn't be passing along ill-gotten sensitive business conversations.

  9. In an unbelievable little bit of serendipity, one of the screenwriting emails I got in the last hour was for Drew Yanno's blog and it's all about building a script for a single character. For anyone wondering more about the approach Hollywood has to this, I'll put the whole article here (under a spoiler, because length) and let you check it out, or not. He says he'll be doing a post about ensembles soon (again, what a stroke of luck) and I eagerly await it, given how much he drills home the ideas present in today's "single star" blog.

    'Spoiler' SelectShow
  10. Despite what I thought was a very strong showing, I'll not be getting a callback from Monday's interview. Back to it (never really stopped, but...). Chin up, and all that.

    1. It's such a difficult feeling when you have this great rapport with a hiring manager and somehow don't move forward. Certainly, there are cynical and optimistic ways to look at the situation, and I hope you can focus on the optimistic one.

      I won't do anything as foolhardy as promise you'll get something soon. All the same, you're having great interviews, so I do believe it's likely.

      1. Trying to keep optimistic. I also got a rejection letter today from another one I thought would be a good fit, based on the description. It's been a rough couple hours, but I also bookmarked 4 new positions I want to apply to shortly after the letter came in, and all 4 seem really interesting.

        1. ARGH! I just got another rejection! At least it's just one bad day, getting them all out of the way!

    2. That sucks. All you can control is what you do. You never know what the competition has done. Just try to look at it as a good learning experience for the next interview.

    3. Sorry to hear that. If it helps, I've interviewed for lots of jobs I didn't get, and when I ultimately got one it turned out to be better than the ones I thought I wanted. Hang in there.

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