17 thoughts on “June 15, 2017: Hold On To Your Hats”

    1. I'm pretty sure I got that from someone in this basement. I've had it bookmarked for years.

  1. According to the Baseball-Reference Simple Rating System (SRS), the Twins are the second-worst team in the AL behind the A's. There's a bunch of AL teams hovering around .500 in the AL and the Twins are considered slightly worse than all of them because of their run differential.

    1. I'm not going to argue the Twins are the best team in the AL but I do think run differential can get skewed by having terrible middle relief pitchers. They turn 6-4 losses into 12-4 losses but don't really affect win probability much.

      1. I do think that a shallow pitching depth (bullpen and starters) is probably the main scenario where run differential is misleading.

      2. The nice thing is, even if it's not misleading and this is a .450 team, for a full season, that would be 73 wins. Well, they've already played 63 games and won 34 of them, so even if they are a .450 team the rest of the year, they still will have 78 wins, which would be a 19-game improvement over last year. Even if they finish with 73 wins, that's still a 14-game improvement.

        What would be real nice is if the Twins can keep playing over their heads until better talent in the minors comes up. I mean, Berrios has been the Twins' best pitcher since he's been up by pretty much any measure you choose. The Twins have a number of power arms in the minors that could improve the bullpen, and if Gonsalves and/or Romero could emerge to get called up in July, they certainly have the talent to improve the rotation. Hopefully, the front office realizes that even though they have a 2-game lead, there's plenty of areas in the pitching staff that need bolstering.

  2. I'm really liking our new dynamic duo. This could be a real fun summer two days out of five.

    Santana 8-4, 2.56 ERA, .170 AVG, 0.95 WHIP, 2.0 SO/BB, 6.44 K/9, 3.22 BB/9
    Berrios 6-1, 2.74 ERA, .186 AVG, 0.96 WHIP, 3.2 SO/BB, 8.00 K/9, 2.74 BB/9

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