64 thoughts on “September 24, 2019: Officially”

      1. We pulled everything over the weekend. We've canned quarts and quarts worth of tomato sauce, salsa, and pickles, and we're just kind of done with it. It's been a fun nightly ritual (one that Newbish, in particular, enjoyed quite a bit), but it's time for it to be over.

        This was our first year with a slightly larger garden (30x50, instead of 12x12, like we'd had for the last ten years), and I'd have to say it was a success.

      1. Sure it does if you go by the weather instead of some bright light only visible during half, and shrinking, part of the day. There's meteorological seasons that go by the calendar months and astronomical seasons that goes by the sun. We focus too much on the sun part when the weather part matters more.

              1. 3 p.m. summer or standard time?

                We already have multiple definitions of year such as sidereal or tropical. Those are at least close but others differ a lot more. The NWS goes by months because temperatures have a greater daily effect than the sun.

                As I said, very small hill.

              2. I think this is a Celsius vs. Fahrenheit situation. Both describe temperature in degrees. Celsius might be great for measuring the heat of various objects in relation to the boiling or freezing points of a certain kind of water, but Fahrenheit makes a great deal more sense when describing how humans experience heat & cold. I don’t think we need different words to describe the seasons when we’re talking about. We just need to be clear whether we’re describing astronomical phenomena as observed at one point in the solar system, or cultural conventions (in part informed by meteorological phenomena) experienced by humans dwelling at that certain point in the solar system.

                I’m a humanist, so my inclination is to use the definition that could be described as more anthropocentric. Someone with a background in the sciences or engineering might prefer one that is more mechanistic. Both uses are correct; they’re modulated in different dialects.

                1. It's really just a difference between summer and Summer, the second being the official season ending at fall equinox, and the first being the time when kids are off from school and at the swimming pools.

                2. I agree with your general point but not sure about this:

                  but Fahrenheit makes a great deal more sense when describing how humans experience heat & cold

                  My interpretation is that you mean Fahrenheit has greater precision while remaining as an integer number. Its 0-100 covers the vast majority of what people regularly experience versus Celsius's 0-100 covers deadly temperatures above about 60. I disagree and think -20-40 is fine and covers what we need.

                  That said, it's an even smaller hill for me compared to meters and grams. Celsius/Fahrenheit are both a step removed and somewhat arbitrary.

                  Someone with a background in the sciences or engineering might prefer one that is more mechanistic.

                  Going to depend on which science. I presume astronomers care about the equinoxes more than a crop scientist or weather forecaster. However, a crop scientist probably has to care about sunlight amount and that's associated with the equinoxes rather than calendar months. Just don't call it the Fall Equinox you Northern Hemispherists.

                  Maybe I'll change my mind once we get solar panels installed.

  1. Shakshuka has as many regional expressions as one could ever hope for in a pretty simple dish. (If you’ve never made it before, J. Kenji López-Alt’s version is a great place to start.) I used three different types of paprika ours last night & served it with toasted Greek pita. Any favorite variations amongst the Nation?

  2. So, obviously the Twins' main goal right now is the postseason, but what sort of individual and team goals should we be watching this week? Team HR total is a big one. I'd also like to see the Twins holding a better record than Atlanta (et. al.), keeping us in the top four. What else are people tracking?

      1. Finishing with fewer than 100 wins would feel like a mild disappointment to me. Chaps’ well-made point about enjoying the regular season (and other discussions about entitlement) are well-taken. At the same time, this team is so special that .597 in the second half feels below its potential. Injuries have been a big contributor to that feeling, so I’m not rendering that as a judgment on anything within control of the front office, Rocco, or the players.

        I guess it comes down to the way they’re approaching 100 wins. Starting the season with the 4th-best first-half winning percentage since moving to Minnesota and tailing off to the 10th best (if the season ended today) second-half winning percentage does feel quite a bit different than if the order was reversed.

    1. My first thought was that John Turturro has aged surprisingly well.

      My second thought was holy crap, that's Adam Sandler.

  3. So earliest the Twins can clinch is tomorrow so here is the prediction list for the next few days:

    Runner -- 9/25/2019
    Zee German -- 9/25/2019 -- W/W
    Algonad -- 9/25/2019 -- L/L
    Nibs -- 9/25/2019 -- W/W

    Jeff A -- 9/26/2019
    Corn -- 9/26/2019 -- W/L
    Beau -- 9/26/2019 -- W/W

    Carter Hayes -- 9/27/2019 -- W/L

      1. Does W/W even mean anything? If Cleveland wins, the elimination number doesn't change. Your options would be W/L if the elimination number was two or W/_ or L/L if it was one.

  4. 6 games to go, but what's everyone's Twins top10 MVP ballot? I wanted to add Eddie, but couldn't really make a case for him over the other 10.
    1. Jorge
    2. Cruz
    3. Kep
    4. Garvesauce
    5. Sano
    6. Rogers
    7. Buxton
    8. Berrios
    9. Odorizzi
    10. Arraez

      1. 1. Kepler (his ability to step into CF was huge).
        2. Polanco
        3. Garver
        4. Cruz
        5. Sanó
        6. Berrios
        7. Odorizzi
        8. Arraez
        9. Rogers
        10. Buxton

        1. Kepler gets my nod for the same reason.

          Player fWAR rWAR WPA Salary
          Polanco 4.3 5.7 1.87 $3.6m
          Kepler 4.4 4.0 3.01 $6.0m
          Cruz 4.0 4.1 3.26 $14.0m
          Garver 3.7 3.9 1.27 $0.58m
          Sanó 2.9 3.0 1.27 $2.65m
          Buxton 2.7 3.1 1.03 $1.75m
          Arraez 2.1 1.9 1.75 serf
          Berríos 4.1 3.0 1.30 $0.62m
          Odorizzi 4.0 3.3 1.74 $9.5m
          Rogers 2.0 2.3 2.67 $1.53m

          This table isn't exhaustive, of course. Arraez really has had himself a heck of a year.

          1. The other 2 metrics not in this chart.

            BP WARP
            1. Polanco 5.4
            2. Garver 4.5
            3. Cruz 3.7
            4. Kepler 3.6
            5. Buxton 2.9
            6. Berrios 2.6
            7. Arraez 2.3
            8. Sano 2.2
            9. Odo 2.2
            10. Rogers 1.8

            Bill James Win shares
            1. Polanco 27
            2. Cruz 21
            3. Kepler 19
            4. Garver 18
            5. Rosario/Sano 16
            7. Arraez 14
            8. Cron/Rogers/Berrios/Gonzo 12
            12. Buxton/Odo 11

    1. 1. Polonco
      2. Nellie
      3. Garvsauce
      4. Rogers
      5.Kep
      6. Buck
      7 Odo
      8. Sano
      9. berrios
      10 Arraez
      11. Rocco

  5. Cody Stashak has a 2.61 FIP thanks to a 23/1 K/BB ratio in 23 IP. The Twins can go 6 or 7 relievers deep with important postseason innings depending on how they feel about Littell and Graterol.

    1. I feel better about the relief pitchers than I do about getting 5-7 good innings out of starters. I'm not sure any of them will pitch more than 4 innings per start.

      1. Looking back over the last few years, five innings seems to be the gold standard for teams that win their series. If they get four good innings from each starter, I think they'll have a good chance.

    2. Tyler Duffey's K rate of 12.61 is the highest of any Twins pitcher that pitched at least 50 innings. The only other Twins pitcher to have at least 12 K/9 in at least 50 IP was Joe Nathan. He did it twice. His best was 12.51 in 2006. Of course, that was a different era for Ks.

  6. Just a public service announcement to remind everyone that game time tonight is 5:40 Central. I nearly forgot that, so I thought others might have as well.

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