2020 GAME 29: Twins (-148) at KC (+137) – Total 9.5

For the third consecutive Sunday it's a Twins Royals match up.  I'll be happy to be done with this team.

Bullpen game vs a Rookie still looking for his first win - repeat of Monday's matchup the Twins won 4-1 getting 2 runs off Bubic in the 4th inning and 6 twins pitchers not giving up a run until a Dozier HR in the 9th.

Take the Twins to win and lets roll with the under on the total

Odds last week:

  • 37 game win pace
  • +650 AL Pennant (3rd behind NYY and TB)
  • +1200 World Series (4th LAD, NYY, TB)

Odds today:

  • 38.6 win pace
  • +600 AL Pennant (3rd behind NYY, TB, tied with HOU)
  • +1200 World Series (3rd behind LAD, NYY, tied with TB and HOU)

Not much change for Twins future odds after a 4-2 week. Houston odds are decreasing (IE - improving)  and Vegas sees Oakland, Cleveland and the White Sox as lower tier teams from an odds standpoint.

Twins are 9-18 to the total and 2-13 at home to the total - enough games to consider this a trend and it will be interesting to see if Vegas lines adjust (9.5 total today suggests they have not yet adjusted).

80 thoughts on “2020 GAME 29: Twins (-148) at KC (+137) – Total 9.5”

  1. A couple more runs in the 2nd for the Twins and it might be a bullpen game for both teams today.

  2. I'm starting to really like The Whistler. Which probably means he'll turn into a pumpkin pretty soon.

    1. 7PM Local Jazz tip off and 8:30PM local puck drop for Vegas Knights tonight before an early work day tomorrow - I am definitely in need of a Sunday nap in the middle to late innings.

  3. I'm listening on radio, but from the way Cory and Dazzle are describing this I don't see how the Twins win the challenge.

    1. I do not understand the logic of when/how/why Baldelli challenges - he is as bad at this as Vikings coach Zimmer is - really pathetic.

  4. The Twins bullpen has been solid this season in spite of Smeltzer and May both taking steps back from last season.

      1. Yeah. But if this team holds onto 1st place and we get, you know, like, half of our rotation back healthy it could be a fun postseason.

    1. May's ERA and FIP are currently lower than they were in 2019. His WHIP is below 1.0 and his K rate is up 1.5 per 9.

      1. I meant May when I typed Rodgers.........its not so easy to comment correctly after a couple of Sunday afternoon beers ya know......

        1. That is to say - I meant Rodgers when I typed May...........its been a good Sunday so far...... 🙂

    1. They're up 4-2 so I'm rather hoping it ends that way. That'd be four games between these two teams to end with that score.

  5. Cory complaining about the Twins being 3-for-11 with men in scoring position. That's a .273 average. I'm not sure what he expects.

  6. Where the catcher reaches should have no impact on whether the umpire calls it a ball or a strike.

  7. The missed chances have been a big factor in this game, but defense has been another big factor.

  8. The tough thing about a bullpen game is that it only takes one guy having a bad day to blow it up.

  9. We still may win, but at what point does Rocco take Rogers out of the closer role? He's just not getting it done.

      1. His BABIP was .423 before the game. He gave up two hits and had two outs from BIP so it's going up again.

  10. Hard to believe the Twins are now 5-5 against the Royals on the season. Felt a lot worse.

  11. I don't understand the logic for giving the win to Clippard rather than Poppen. Not that wins are that big a deal, but Poppen pitched well.

  12. We still have just over half the season left. At this point, though, the Twins are tied for second in the American League with Tampa Bay. If Oakland loses, it would be a three-way tie. I have no idea who'd win the tiebreakers, so the Twins would play either the sixth, seventh, or eighth seed in the playoffs. Right now the White Sox are sixth, Houston is seventh, and Baltimore and Toronto are tied for eighth.

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