Tag Archives: projecting

Quick Thoughts on Mauer at First

Last year Mauer hit .324/.404/.476 in 113 games: 75 at catcher, 29 at DH, and 8 at first. Let's assume he does similar in 2014 but with 150 games all at first.

DRS rates Mauer's defense over a full year (unsure if that's 150 or 162 games) at +2 runs; UZR says +8 runs; TZL says +7 runs. I'm going to assume +5 runs.

Extrapolating things a bit to more games, but at first, gives the following rWAR figures.

YearGPARbatRbaserRdpRfieldRposRAAWAARrepRARWAR
201311350826-1162343.817515.4
201415065434-105-12262.922485.3

Almost exactly the same. A large part of that is due to many more plate appearances. I don't know how much his defense will improve at first given experience. DRS really liked him this year, but UZR didn't. If instead he averages +10 runs at first, that's bordering on a six-win season.