Number of teams to make the postseason since 1995 that started at 12-23: one. The previous team to do that was the Blue Jays in 1989. In 1981, the Royals made the postseason with a worse record after 35 games, but unless the players plan on striking for a third of the season, I don't think it's a good model. After that, just one more team* did it: the 1974 Pirates.
It doesn't look good my friends.
* Caveat: I only checked for the years since divisional play started.
I'm impressed you were optimistic enough to look into it. I just figured it's really, really low odds, and left it at that.
I live on hard data.
I rely more on instinct, and my gut feeling is
GOSO.Prove me wrong, lads. Prove me wrong.
I'm not ready to write a team off this early, unless it's the Detroit Tigers and this is 2003.
I would feel a lot worse if I had good reason to think the Indians and Royals were really, legitimately good. (Or if I thought the White Sox and Tigers were really all that good.) I think the Indians and Royals are improved over last year, but remain unconvinced as to how much improved they are. Get healthy, win games against AL Central opponents, see what happens.
In the end, team record doesn't matter as much as game's back, and the Twins aren't as far back from first place now as they were in other years later in the season they made the playoffs. Of course, being double-digits out of first place this early in the season with four teams ahead of you is bad no matter how you spin it. The odds are certainly against them, but the scenario is favorable for a miracle comeback. The Twins have key players coming back from injury, they have a favorable schedule and what appears to be a weak division with the first-place team appearing to play well over its head. Plus the Twins have many players who have experienced many turnarounds and miracle comebacks, so they know its possible, but they need to start doing it soon.
Agreed, but there isn't a B-R search for games back after 35 games.
I initially saw "Ricky Romero vs. Carl Pavano" and "It doesn't look good my friends." The actual content which doesn't look good is somehow even more sobering.
I'm really getting tired of all of the talk about Mauer's toughness, or lack thereof. I suppose it is my own fault for listening to talk radio.
Once the radio talked at me and I responded. It rudely ignored my comments, so I shifted the dial elsewhere.
I've pretty much stopped listening to the media at all, except to watch highlights. The point of those things is to entertain and not necessarily to be objective. As a result, most of everything said is completely baseless.
I could live with it if they weren't trying to be objective but were at least trying to have some fun. I understand sports can be an outlet to vent some of life's frustrations, but at some point the negativity detracts from my enjoyment of sports.
There we go. I can bear (and even enjoy) some bonehead analysis, but if I stop enjoying the product because of the coverage, it's time to ignore the coverage.
[jpg of fans doing the Wave and bouncing a beach ball]
🙂
See! This gamelog is more fun already!
Click through for the photographer's idea of the "fun". Hint: it's Dread Pirate approved.
Hey all!
It's been a while since I've gotten to watch a full game with you guys, so I'll hang around tonight. Here are some bullet points from my trip report--in no particular order:
I miss Hardy. He is better than almost everyone currently playing for the Twins.
It was funny seeing Hardy get Ullgered as the winning run in the 9th inning. That play wasn't even close.
I had to leave after the 11th inning so I could catch the light rail back to my hotel.
By the time I left, I was so close to the filed that I could have spit on Luke Scott.
Unfortunately, I accidentally deleted most of the pictures I had from Baltimore. The only ones I still had were the ones I took during the afternoon.
I got to the game early and saw all of BP. I stood up in that right field area. I caught a ball that went over my head, bounced on the concrete and then hit the back wall. Another guy had a chance at it, but blew it and that opened the door for me to snag it.
I feel like I could average at least one BP ball per batting practice if I got there early enough and had a glove. One dude there managed to catch 3.
Psh, this guy snagged 10.
Looks like he didn't come up to the right field area while I was there. Otherwise, I could have been the dude who outweighed him by 75 pounds and slammed into him.
I like Hardy, but I can see how as a GM it would be hard to keep him around while paying him much of anything, given his propensity for injury. I see Gomez is up to 1.3 fWAR early in the season. I liked having Gomez around because he was a character. (For the same reason, I'm sure Gardenhire likes having him gone.) Plus, I loved when we had Jones-Hunter-Lawton/Kielty in the outfield and it would be fun to see Revere-Gomez-Span in the same outfield.
Propensity for injury? Before last season he hadn't spent any significant time on the DL as a major leaguer since 2006 - he played basically the full seasons of 2007 through 2009. The only Twins I can think of who've played basically three full seasons without getting significantly hurt that I can think of recently are Span and Kubel (and Kubel's spent plenty of that time not playing the field). And it's not like the injuries he had with the Twins were chronic-types. Basically, all guys get hurt, but I don't really see how he's got a proven track record of being more likely to get hurt than most anybody else.
Oops?
I'm just projecting injury-proneness on everyone these days, I guess, since the Twins and the Sounders seem destined to end the season with half a roster of walk-ons.
It's cool, I just get a little peeved at the idea of him being especially injury-prone since that was one of the main party lines propagated before/after the decision to trade him was made, and I've never seen the evidence for it - again, any more than pretty much anyone else.
Hardy had plenty of nagging little injuries that didn't send him to the DL, but had him missing plenty of games. Games played per season since 2006- 151,146,115 (with Mil), then 101 with Min. For the record, I'd still like to have him here, but it's not a stretch to say Hardy gets dinged up pretty easily.
+18 games in the minors in 2009. He was probably benched a few times because of performance.
Well, the reason his games played is lower in 2009 was because the Brewers sent him down for a month, not because he was hurt for a month.
And again, find me a Twins guy the last few years who has averaged more than 146 games per season, other than Span. Everybody gets dinged up pretty easily.
Answer: 0. Since 2007, Kubel has averaged 139.5, Young 137.7, Morneau 134, Mauer 132.5, Cuddyer 131.3, Span 130.3.
I'd count Span's 40 games in Rochester to start 2008, too, which would put him at 143 and two/thirds. But otherwise, exactly.
Unless you're counting his 2007 in Rochester too, in which case, never mind!
Nope, forgot about that. Didn't include the minor league games for anyone else either.
Yeah, I don't think they'd apply to anyone else here other than pre-mid-2008 Span and August-2009 Hardy. I'm just willing to count non-rehab minor league stints for those guys since to me they're positive evidence of playing, that is, not being hurt.
Yea, I have a hard time saying that playing 151, 146 and 115+18 games at SS is evidence of injury-prone-ness.
In 2009, games played by month: 21, 22, 26, 25, 8 (+18), 13
I have an irrational(??) dislike of the Blew Jays these days. They seem to pwn the Twins well beyond their true talent level. So it would be cool to actually win a series against them.
So it would be cool to actually win
a seriesagainst them.Yea. That.
So it would be cool to actually win
a series against them.Yea. That (too).
[sad puppy.jpg]
Sadly, this.
From west central MN: I hear the Twins want to wear the throwbacks every game the rest on the home season in honor of Harmon. Jack Morris just expressed his dislike for them. Too bad, Jack.
Let me correct you, sir. That should be, "F*** you, Jack."
how the hell could a guy who grew up in f-ing St. Paul be opposed to the throwbacks? I mean, the guy was 10 when the Twins played in the 1965 World Series. He should have been all over that concept.
Maybe he liked the Tiger whites. To be fair, he did not make his comments in the context of the tribute info.
Dido
That'd be a bummer. I enjoy the variety. I wouldn't mind them wearing them more often, but not every single home game.
Tonight, I get to taste this fine-looking brew. It's 9% ABV, so if I start working blue, I have an excuse.
I have some pizza and a Red Chair, based on your recommendation. Weird to be home for the start of a game.
Sooooo glad Red Chair has not only been kept around as a regular but that it's migrated west. I'm taking credit, Deschutes. Thank me with cash.
had it. Decent. Didn't set my world on fire.
I'm thinking about this for dessert tonight.
Drinking it now. Enjoying it, but it doesn't stand out in the genre.
mm. Jack advocating the brushback against Bautista. He's probably got a point -- better Pavano hit him next time than he hits a gapper.
Bert said to "hit him in the chest." I'd probably be okay with that.
I didn't realize Arrencibia could make an out.
I'm pretending that April 1 never happened. Since then, he is 207/284/333
Which is better than all but six Twins.
but he's a Blew Jay, so that makes him the Butters Equivalent.
Is "Arencibia" Canadian for "Butters"??
There was a nice, efficient first inning.
Just passed Alex. Miles to go before I sleep.
You better have pulled over to text that. Or we are gonna kick your ass.
Artie_fufkin.jpg
ROFL. I'd forgotten all about that when I looked it up.
One of my favorite poems.
Ted has already worked in two "fisteds" on the first two Twins batters. I am rapidly coming to despise Ted.
Verlander into the sixth. No hits. I hope he does it.
I turned on that game just in time to see it broken up.
Melky Cabrera just ended Verlander's no-hit streak at 15.2 IP with an RBI triple.
Karl Pavano with a strikeout!!!1!111!
Tag fail.
Tag fixed.
You want the shift-comma, shift-period brackets.
<comma>Oh yeah!<period>
[Kool-aid man]
Another site I post at uses the [] brackets, so it's just a force of habit. I should be more careful.
Or stop posting there, you dirty two-timer!
there are other websites?
That's ok, my list tags got stripped earlier too.
Woohoo, a strikeout!
I thought the bat boy was Ben Revere.
Tonight: It is hot and I found one of these in my cabinet from last year.
Now THAT is something I'd like to try.
Yeah, that looks intriguing. If we have that out here, I've never seen it.
I don't know if it was a limited run or if they are going to make it every year. It is pretty terrific after spending the year behind some pots and pans.
The last time I found I beer I had forgotten about was a dubbel I had made. I misplaced an entire case for a whole year, found it when moving, and it was amazing.
A year and a half ago, I was shopping for winter ales at my local grocery, and discovered that THEY had somehow gotten a few sixers of the previous year's Anchor Christmas Ale. I scooped 'em up after asking the beer guy to go to the storeroom and check for more. Winner!!
Dick: Pavano is not a winner this year. He is a winner for the Twins though.
I'm going with the "have a bad feeling about this game." This is looking like way more Twins bullpen than I'll feel comfortable with.
Great moments in Gameday History. Two of those "balls" to Arencibia were right at the knees. Those should be strikes.
Radio guys were all over that. Black Jack saying earlier that the strike zone should be bigger.
This is looking like it could be a gold mine game for Great Moments in Gameday History.
Yeah, that Davis AB was a classic moment in "WTF Strikezones".
[Joe Schultz]
That went south in a hurry.
Gawd, would it kill the Twins to freekin take a pitch or two?
What happens first, end of game or Romero reaching 70 pitches?
Asked, and delivered on the taking of pitches.
Luke Hughes ignores my advice, though.
.......
I wasn't paying attention and gameday seems to be malfunctioning... who were Pavano's baserunners that inning?
OK...let's try this again.
Rally!
Every at bad needs to have a purpose.
Err, at bat.
I think there's a term for that. Freudian something or other.
At bad seems about right.
Not good by Mountie.
Shoulda hit him in the chest.
It almost hit Delmon in the chest bouncing off the wall.
I see elm'n had no problem getting back into game shape.
He wears those roller skates all the time, right?
Pavano at ~100 pitches. This game is about to go over a cliff into the bullpen.
At least Pavano's games without a K streak is over.
High pitch count and lots of wiggling... but no runs.
Just be thankful that no trees will be harmed.
Pavano keeps wiggling.
Couldn't the Twins have just left _elm_n on the DL?
Evening, gents.
51 pitches through five. Oy vey.
Shades of Silva.
Silva would've loved pitching to the 2011 Twins.
Who wouldn't?
DID YOU GUYS NOTICE THE MINNESOTA TWINS HAVE NOT REGISTERED A BASE HIT YET DURING THIS BASE BALL CONTEST?
HAVE THEY NOT BATTED A BALL INTO PLAY THAT WAS NOT TURNED INTO AN OUT? I WAS NOT AWARE OF THAT
Is there a term for such a performance?
usual?
I'd chime in now, but I haven't seen anything worth chiming in about.
Dazz: "Both pitchers are dealin' a little bit."
Me: Are you WATCHING this game, Dazz?
Alex Burnett warming up in a scoreless game. #fml
This OKC-MEM game is starting to look like it deserves my undivided attention more and more.
You gotta wait until somebody scores, cheaptoy. Otherwise it will be your fault.
Before when I would say a guy was going to hit a HR, they'd do something sucky. I'm trying a new approach.
See?
Genius, toy. Pure genius.
What ct said.
so, you have a shunt into your brain that allows you to think text messages?
*b!tch-slaps Stick*
voice-recognition software?
I saw I could download an app for that when I was going through my menus seeing if I could get MLB audio.
Oh, great. Burnett warming up. Can't he wait until we're down by five or six?
Or up by 20.
Wait, have they even scored 20 runs total this season?
OFFS. Really, Gardy?
I'd like to know what hit him in the head that he thinks bringing Burnett into a game with a crappy, small strike zone is a good idea.
Was going to be Slowey--now it's Burnett. Game=over.
I'd have been much happier with Slowey entering the game.
If we're not going to use him in that spot, I don't know when we're ever going to use him.
I think it's because Slowey can't warm up that quickly.
This was under the assumption that he would be starting the next inning.. so much for that.
Burnett 4T(not immediate loss)!
"daylight" play with the 2b? Huh, Jack? There is ALWAYS daylight between the runner at 2nd and the 2b.
Maybe he's talking about the runner at first...
that would be a big lead.
Seems about right for a guy taking a lead against Pavano.
What if it's an extreme righty shift?
Look -- something different! Swing on the
firstsecond pitch!You know, Butters is the perfect guy to break up a no-hitter.
I would say something more like, "Butera is the perfect guy to not swing, ever."
There's a South Park episode where the boys are playing Little League, and all the teams are trying to lose so they don't have to play all summer. The pitcher of the other team is good enough that when the worst player is up, the pitcher nails his bat. The terrible player then runs around the bases and scores, forcing the South Park team to have to play more games. Ironically, their worst player was not Butters.
was it Timmy?
It was a cousin of Kyle's, I believe.
Dazz: "Drew 0 for his last nine...due for a hit"
Me: he's hitting .109, so I guess, technically, you are correct.
Well, theoretically they were correct...
Dazz lost me on that when he started talking about Butters touching homeplate. Butters gets hit-???- Profit!
Yeah, but he's OPSing .290!
That is unbelievable. I have a hard time believing that I, to this day, would be any worse.
w00t.
Basehit!
When it rains it pours!!!!
I was ready to fully abandon this game for hoops but then I realized that the score is still 0-0. What the hell?
Base hits!
After 5.2 no-hit innings, the Twins with two sharply hit singles!
Mwahahaha. Two sharply hit singles!!
Heh, Gameday gave me a live look-in just in time to see the worst base "hit" I have ever seen.
At least Plouffe's wasn't the hit that ended the no-hitter. That wouldn't have been classy.
Eh, I don't think you could have called it "not classy". Not classy would have been ending it on a bunt single.
Yeah, at least he swung at it.
Twins baseball!
evening, gents. am i missing anything?
We b!tch-slapped Stick. That was fun.
Well, you're not missing a no-hitter.
Not by much anyway.
A bunch of stupid sh!t said by the Twins announcers.
Ok, I gotta go home. Plus, I can't bear to listen to another Russian Roulette Inning with Burnett.
Click. Click. BOOM!
Shake the room?
Does Burnett suck or blow?
I believe he defies physics and does both.
Oh that sequence was an emotional roller coaster.
HELL YES! Burnett is coming out.
OH NOOOOOOOOOOO it's Hoey!
🙁
Really? So Gardy really is tanking then, eh?
O/U for total number of runs scored by the BJs in the rest of this game--6.5.
I'd take the under but I wouldn't feel super comfortable about it.
What? Is Gardy playing for the Draft picks?
/Remembers cupboard is bare anyways
Nevermind
[baby swimming.jpg]
Who is the worst Twins pitcher?
I know I broke the rules but this book needed to be shown.
Good evening from Nashville, Tennessee!
Oof, not only are you joining this game, but you also have to be in Tennessee? You've been dealt bad cards, man.
I'm just passing through, in a rather nice hotel for the night. In that regard, it's not so bad.
I've only been to Nashville once, but have spent many nights in Memphis so I will always hate Tennessee based on that city.
Oh, goody! I'm in Memphis a week from today! (And it's not a just passing through visit, either.)
I can recommend the Flying Saucer, both for the german potato salad and hot waitresses in short skirts. I never did find any good bbq, though, but that was mostly because I was thirsty and outside of the Flying Saucer, they have no beer.
i can second the saucer.
I've heard good things about Nashville from a number of people--
meatPrinter being one of them.In Nashville's defense, its not Memphis.
On a more serious note, I was only in Nashville for one night and it wasn't that bad. I had a decent meal and some good beer here.
I've never been, but my painter friend Jim and his wife went down for a Wild/Predator game, spending the weekend. They ended up being thrilled with the food, hospitality, and especially the old school country & western music they heard in a couple of unassuming little bars they happened into. While I realize that's of no interest to you, there's lots of old studio cats in Nashville that gig all over town, making for a
Nirvana ValhallaNashville for fans of the genre.The question is: Should I wait for the inevitable extra base hit here, or just go lay in bed and watch basketball?
The answer: Yes, I will get more beer.
Hoey?! GOSO
Hoey inspires dread..
well, burnett did set him up nicely.
*cue screeching strings!!!
httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kIbEj1CIpuU
What in the hell was that, Delmon?
GOSO
Is it too much to ask for just one triple play?
I'll take it!
You can say that again.
Well that was supposed to nest somewhere.
You can say that again.
Pete and Re-Pete got in a boat, Pete fell out, who was left?
Re-Pete.
Pete and Re-Pete got in a boat..
I think that might have been the second easier Dugout to write.
OMG! Did Hoey record an out?
all right, who's responsible for this?
http://www.pitchtocontact.com/
BWAHAHAHAHA
HA!
I find that amusing.
While the audio didn't match the visual, it did very much encapsulate the 2011 campaign thus far.
I would have used a picture of a dejected looking Nick Blackburn.
4/5ths of the roster could pose for that one.
Oh how I wish it was me.
wasn't expecting that...
To be honest, giving up only one run in a tie game is way better than I expected out of AJ & Hoey.
AJ & Hoey sounds like a crappy
pitchingdepartment store.It wouldn't have been so bad to bring Hoey in if there weren't runners on. Basically what I'm saying is F.U. Burnett.
Finally, Mountie! Keep using the whole field.
Beat the MFing shift!
Freakin' uno DP ball. Dude, your Delmon's broken.
I also like how Zach put it earlier.
Zack, sorry about that. Proper attribution and all.
Here comes Cuddles to pick up the Blue Jays' defense.
Sadly, he's not broken, just reset to the factory defaults.
I'm waiting for the blue screen of doom to pop up.
At least then they could bring him to Best Buy for recycling.
they'd have to pay $10, but they'd get the same back in gift cards.
Then they could pick up a copy of the Show for $10 off and stick it behind home plate. It'd hit better than Butters, I have no doubt.
When Dick Bremer is having trouble hiding his disdain at the team's suckiness you know things are in a bad place.
It's been a long time since he had to call the action for a team this bad. It's interesting to watch the spin again.
i think the baseball play that best encapsulates this season is the infield popup. lord knows we've seen enough of them.
Radio guys keep talking about the Blew Jays getting that extra run across. Like the Twins are going to manage to score a run.
mcdonald does the little things right, bert? i thought the twins were the only ones that did that.
Other teams do the little things incorrectly, too?
Bunting: always a solid stragedy.
so nice, they did it twice.
Is Yunel Escobar stupid, or something?
Radio guys suggested that the dugout told him to do so based on his disgusted demeanor afterward.
The fake squeeze! I've always considered that to be the most underutilized play in all of baseball.
holy shit:
Damn. That's never good.
Damn.
Holy shit, indeed.
His Wikipedia page is already updated. I don't know if that fascinates me or if it just pisses me off.
I noticed that too.
Wow.
I got here just in time for the walk-off...
Bautista swung at a ball a foot off the pla...... and it looks like it caught a little bit of it.
Well, he will never go into the broadcasting hall of fame.
the foxtrax, or whatever, made that statement look all the more ridiculous.
But he wasn't a Twin...
Well, that was obvious somehow.
One run deficits are bad for these Twins. Two run deficits are almost enough to turn the game off.
/obligatory/
Blah, I've wasted too much time on this crap already. I'm going to go drink some beer and watch basketball.
[matrix inevitability video]
yikes.
Well, that takes care of Nathan's obligatory...
Has Morris ever watched Nathan pitch? He thinks 17 pitches to two batters is unusual for Joe.
For an infielder Cuddy doesn't look too awkward in right field.
Fishing sounds a lot better than this...
Catfish?
okay guys, is this real?!
httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMujgAAyH-I
No. The script is dull and the acting is pretty bad. It's a nice spot regardless, but it was staged.
No, the ball doesn't look real. It's probably one of them sports drinks ads.
Looks pretty real to me, but it's got to be fake. I don't see how he could've seen that ball coming, and at best, he'd have deflected it, not caught it.
umm... defensive indifference?
Nathan's gameday pic looked funny to me. Then I realized it was because gameday doesn't show a mustache.
For dudes who hate pitch counts Dick and Bert sure are talking a ton about Nathan's pitch count.
BJs--2 runs on 14 hits. Wow.
Twinsesque, of late. Or maybe I just mean the last game we played. I'm a little toasted and this team is bad right now, so who cares?@!
OK OK NOW IS TIME FOR THE WALK-OFF!
Kubel can't even buy a hit tonight: team is screwed.
Morneau's reverting to some bad habits by swinging at those pitches away.
There's still a chance!
I don't know, doctor. Doesn't a Cuddy futz the numbers?
At least it's not Butters!
I Can't Believe He's Not Butters!
Got to the Bullpen!
What does Bert add to the broadcast?
"Believe me, no one would love [getting a walk-off hit] more than Cuddyer."
Shit, who wouldn't? Isn't that what every baseball player dreams about, all the time?
One of the grumpy old men on the radio said something equally inane.
fitting.
That's a fitting end to this dud.
Gee? Cuddy chased down and away?
MVP. boo.
The blueprint for striking Cuddyer out is embarrassingly easy to understand.
My 85-year-old mother pointed it out. True story.
Check swing strikeout on ball 4.
That about sums up the season.
Shucks.
we've burned through a lot of ordinance blowing up all these game logs already this season.
Prophetic words, sean.
So...how many times have the Twins been shutout now this season? 7?
Surprisingly, only four.
How many times have they scored one run?
How many times was that one run a pity run?
Ugh...
0 runs: 4 occurrences
1 run: 4 occurrences
2 runs: 4 occurrences
3 runs: 12 occurrences
4 runs: 5 occurrences
5 runs: 4 occurrences
7 runs: 1 occurrence
9 runs: 1 occurrence
10 runs: 1 occurrence
Bad bad bad.
Another quality game log, fellas.