First Pitch - 6:05 pm CDT
Television - FSN
Lineups - TBD
I don't have a lot of time for today's game log since I spent most of the day yesterday walking (3.25 miles on the Coon Rapids dam trails), shopping (Trader Joe's) and eating (chicken, black bean and corn quesadillas with guacamole) instead of working on the work work I probably should have been working on. What can I say, the doctors told me I have to be a little more selfish about taking time for my health from now on.
The Twins have been playing pretty good baseball lately. They've won seven of their last ten games and sit in fourth place, 12.5 games off the division lead and 3 games behind the third-place Indians. Cleveland, on the other hand, is in total collapse mode, riding a nine-game losing streak that started with a series sweep by the Twins at the end of July. We'd all like to see the Twins continue Cleveland's losing streak by sweeping this series, too. After all, now that the Cuyahoga Rivers doesn't start on fire when you toss a cigarette butt into it, we have to give the Indians something else to cry about. Extending their losing streak to an even dozen games and moving into a tie for third place ought to do it.
The Twins made an unexpected move over the weekend, trading Danny Valencia to the Red Sox for minor league outfielder Jeremias Pineda after a waiver claim. This looks like a move that will improve the Minnesota team immediately by subtraction and could pay off several years down the road by addition or ancillary transaction. Some four-cylinder import named Nishioka has been called up from Rochester to fill Juicy's roster spot, which was temporary anyway, but I expect Nishi will take a turn at shortstop and/or second as a September audition. Or maybe he'll just ride the pine for a week. It's not like the team is concerned about getting him regular at-bats like they are with Parmelee. Jamey Carroll will likely get all the duty at the hot corner until Babe Plouffe! returns from the 15-day disabled list, possibly by Friday.
On The Hill:
Tonight the Twins send ace-apparent Diamond out to face something called a McAllister. Diamond has a record of 9 wins and 3 losses, while McAllister has notched 4 wins and 3 losses. Diamond has an equal rights amendment of 2.93 and McAllister has an equal rights amendment of 3.42. All other pitching stats are made up and/or meaningless.
Play ball!
(saw this one come up this morning, so I changed the time it posted)
Just like old times!
Oh, Nishi.
Nishi--I haven't missed you.
Yep, Nishi needs to be playing everyday. For the comedic value if nothing else.
Bert: If you can't laugh at yourself, who can you laugh at?
Me: Nishi?
Nice play by Carroll.
Hammer time!
*Updates the count
downup*Indians PBP had just commented that Consuela was 1 for his last 18.
Canadian Ham!
Ooh, and I spookied that one. It had been a while.
Scotsmen eat haggis!
Donut with just a double. Whatever.
Doublit!
This is awesome!
Nishi! (hey, it was the best we could have hoped for)
Postulation: Dozier = Nishioka with a few more homers. Discuss.
-$2.5 million.
Right, it's nicer to pay nothing for sub-replacement level than pay something for it.
As a hitter, sure. Dozier isn't a lost puppy in the field, though.
I've seen him make (or, not make) some pretty ugly plays.
Oh, I'm not saying he's good...he's just not Nishioka.
No, you're forgetting that he's the Next! Big! Thing!
And better fielding. DRS rates him as average now!
woooooooooooooooooooooooo mediocrity!
I essentially said as much a few days ago, though I'll echo that he's just "meh" on defense, as opposed to "I'm living in constant terror that the opposing batter will hit a ball in his general direction" territory that has been filled only by Delmon and Nishioka in the past couple of years.
Gift error!
to catch up
Nishi...yeesh
WILLINGHAMMER
JASON MORNEAU IS BACK
So, not all catchers can play first.
It's "laugh at the second baseman" night in Cleveland.
hey guys. I like what I'm seeing so far (at Mom's actually watching the game tonight)
20 game hit streak for Revere.
Longest for any Twin since Torii (23) in 2007.
Longest by any current Twins EVER!!!
C. Provus classic - The Indians are in familiar territory - trailing by a lot.
sounds like a line from the movie Major League
but it made me laugh
just a bit outside
This is the greatest inning of baseball ever.
Everyone joins the hit parade! Except for the inept middle-infielders.
nice... glad they're making my night
Pauer!
What is going on? Are these considered take-back runs?
So, this is pretty fun.
the unearned runs are piling up this inning
Get some man muscles, Big Pussy.
Chance for an 8 run inning here...
shut it jinxtwit
see, now they didn't score 8 runs!!!
What happens if Morneau makes it a nine-run inning? Does that count?
Doesn't matter! Eight runs!!
uh oh, the natives are booing
7-run inning!!!
Too much haggis.
10 runs@!!!!!!!!
Doppleganger!!
MOTHERRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Mwahahaha!
HOLY CRUDBALLS
I need to come over to my mom's to watch the game more often.
Are you kidding? We're having you moved in to her basement tomorrow.
10 RUN INNING!!!11!!!1!!111ONEONEONEONEONKoneondonak;asjghk;sadgk;jasd!!!
I think the Twins may have broken GreekHouse.
I am aposgionsadgpisnadg!!!
God if this could only end up on a N'000th LTE posting...
I'll make it happen, even if it's in the middle of a one of Beau's video game posts.
Ten run inning!
3 home runs THIS INNING. wow
Now to rub MSG in the wound.
Oy, that's not good.
Sorry.
That's a big wound if Madison Square Garden is going to fit in it.
Apparently, Donut does not like being taunted about hitting "only" doubles.
Good thing Nishi is up again, I'm running out of digits to keep track of the score on.
Only Dozier can keep Nishi from making all three outs this inning.
Wait, Tomlin gets an earned run for that? But all other runs are unearned?
So in a 10-1 rout, Nishioka has already managed to make an error that led to the only Native run, and made two outs in a single inning. Poor sap.
ouch That is not a good start to this call up.
...
I remember that game.
I was watching in a friend's dorm room and the Twins got way ahead so he left for a while. Then he came back and asked if the Twins had doubled their lead. I responded, "Maybe, what was the score when you left?"
Dozier, I've always said you're a total Nishioka.
Ahh, sweet, sweet validation!
Sweet Caroline.
That's cold, man.
Dozier has some crappy fundamentals.
Not to twitter y'all to death, but this is hilarious:
whoa, what the hey?!
If I hadn't seen it, I'd be pretty sure it was a typo.
Ten runs and only seven hits. I wonder what the highest ratio is.
Undefined. That's not very exciting.
With a minimum of five runs, four. Lot of errors though. Still not very exciting.
Poor Andy Hawkins. Unexciting though it may be, I'm sure he remembers the time he spun a no-hitter and lost by four.
Except it ceased to be a no-hitter the next year when MLB defined a no-hitter as being at least nine innings.
I remember that one.
You should ask s -
...oh, right.
Numero Consuelo has moved as well, Fuego!!
Every game Nishi has played in this season has featured a Twins 10-run inning. Uncanny!
SEND HIM!!!
.
.
>come in from mowing the lawn to see the Twins ahead 10-1
>figure "oh, Nishioka must be doing alright in his first game back"
>see 0-2 (both in the same inning) and an error leading to the only opposing run
yup.
Oh, Canada!
hang em and bang em Jason
career HR number 200 I believe
MOUNTIE again!
The mountie didn't even get all of that pitch.
MOUNT HIM!!!
Wait, that didn't come out right.
Yes it did.
It's not like I was talking about Mauer--or I was meat and talking about Casilla.
You're a dead man. I mean it. not.
Did the Cleveland announcer really just say "Just a bit outside"?
He quotes that occasionally, yeah.
the Twins have outscored Cleveland 40-7 in the last 3+ games.
As a song in search of a voice that is silent.
Three other Canadians have 200 career home runs.
I forgot the third guy was a Canuck
And I, the second.
I loved watching that guy in batting practice. When he was with the Royals, he would be banging balls off the championship banners that hung on the giant wall in the upper deck of Metrodome.
Okay, better:
LOL. Only took a couple hundred homeruns to get it
rightcorrect, eh?best served half-bakedf
Wow - Oz beats Boris-Natashas in a stunning victory.
After seeing the Twins go down 1-2-3 that inning, I have no less confidence that they'll win this game.
MLB.tv has dropped both feeds completely and I'm now getting a "This game will begin shortly" screen. Thanks, MLB.tv! I had no interest in this awesome blowout anyway.
Gameday Audio keeps dropping the MN radio feed, too. Thanks, MLB!
not here it hasn't
Ben Revere is one fast dude.
JMIVGABB.
Twins with 5 of the top 15 AL hitting streaks this season so far
I'd hope the Twins will save some runs for the rest of the series.
with Cleveland pitching, I dont think we have to worry to hard.
I'm going to wear some rubber off my bike tires. Keep this one
closelopsided.If Blackburn was pitching "like he normally does", he'd still be our fifth best starter.
Unfortunately not someone else's fifth starter.
So true.
Is there any way to get will call tickets on stub hub?
Hah! Michael Young the starting shortstop for the Rangers tonight. He's played mostly DH this season and last, so Washington decides he's fit for shortstop.
Elvis Andrus is hurt, I think.
Right. So obviously, Michael Young is the temporary shortstop. He played one game there last year, which was the first since 2008. He has played more DH than any other position the last two years.
Most underrated player in baseball!
Why do I feel like that would've been an ITPHR if Delmon had been manning left field?
It was Jose Lopez who hit that. Triple at best, and that's if Span stumbles.
Ah, I had forgotten who was batting. Even so, Delmon jumps up against the wall, falls to the ground and lies there as Span has to run all the way into left field to pick the now stationary ball off the turf. Close call.
Willingham has no ups.
What average did we figure Revere had to hit in order to be worth it as a low patience, no power bat?
According to B-R, he's at 0 batting runs now with .323/.354/.383. So, adding in his base-running, I'm thinking .315 for a net-zero offensive contribution.
He's at 2.4 rWAR this year, with 1.9 rWAR coming from fielding and position. FanGraphs says 2.6 fWAR and 2.0 fWAR for fielding and position.
So, in order to be a net positive with that kind of glove, he'd mostly have to bat above .300, then?
I would agree with that.
Or build up some arm strength!
Also, this assumes defensive metrics don't undervalue that skill. I went to a presentation at SABR - though the guy didn't show us his math, and just encouraged us to buy his book, so I'm skeptical - that suggested defense was highly undervalued. Like I said, I'm skeptical. And yet, somehow, watching Ben Revere, I start being less skeptical.
Michael Humphreys? I haven't read his book, but did read his excerpt in THT's Annual. I'm not sure DRS or UZR under-estimate it that much, but Total Zone absolutely did.
That sounds right. I believe he did most of his comparisons to Total Zone, so that would make sense. I really wanted to see the math...
He posts frequently on Tango's Book blog. I'm not sure he's gone through the math there either. I believe he does in the book though.
He claims to. "Buy the book" seemed to be the takeaway from that session. Which is part of why I didn't.
make it .310 with that smile
He seems like the kind of batter who has a shot at consistently batting around there.
speaking of Revere, even though his arm is subpar, I do like the combo of Span in Cf and Revere in Rf.
Initially, I really disliked it, but I've come around to it. The way Revere covers ground, Span gets to cheat a little bit toward Left field
Maybe this is why I'm less skeptical. Ben Revere has made Span's defense better, which has made Willingham's defense better... can we compare Span's pre-Revere defensive numbers with his post-Revere defensive numbers?
Um... I just looked at Willingham's numbers on B-R. Why are BIS and Total Zone so different?
Data sources. BIS uses.. BIS! Total Zone uses Gameday, so it's not as reliable.
And neither takes into account player starting position/relative ease of the play, correct?
Correct. BIS used to not ignore shift plays, until their DRS system said Brett Lawrie had the best defensive season ever, halfway through this season. The BIS and STATS data has classification for how hard the ball is hit, but not for how hard the play is.
Edit: In fact, players moving around has traditionally caused problems. Dubbed "range bias", it had the effect of bunching balls in play closer to where fielders traditionally played, which would regress players to the mean.
I can't imagine a much better way to do defensive metrics without significant discretionary man-power... but I sure wish there were. Or that people who were into stats weren't so comfortable with using numbers to approximate actual performance, such that they would care to do the more detailed assessments.
For long-term stuff (e.g. career), a with-and-without-you comparison is considered the gold standard. It's computationally expensive (relatively speaking), but quite accurate. Unfortunately, this does not work well on the season scale. At this point, we're waiting for FieldF/X, which is quite expensive and I think still in beta-testing at AT&T Park.
I'd heard they were going to do it, but wasn't aware it was even in beta yet. So that's good.
Twins three games behind the Indians. With a sweep, they would be tied for third!!!
It seems like a pretty sure bet that we'll be surpassing them at some point in the near future. Cleveland is in free-fall mode.
Still better than the Astros. They won three games in July.
they are 4-27 since July 1. oof
Fifth worst month for any team in baseball history.
Ah, Nishi. Ungood.
Manny Acta has that old constipated look TK used to have whenever the Twins were stinking up the joint.
If Revere doesn't bat again tonight, he will be seven PAs short of qualifying for the all-important leaderboards.
Estimate of when he will qualify: after next Monday's, 8/13, game.
He'd better not bat again...
"Nishioka has nothing to learn at the Major League level".... He just stinks.
Cripes, Nishi. You've got the Cleveland announcers completely flummoxed with your ineptitude.
Oof, and they're experts on ineptitude.
So, do we really think that Dozier is close to Nishi?
I think we had forgotten Nishi.
I don't know that I've ever seen a major league player who looked less like a major league player.
Are you asking if I think Dozier has been uniformly terrible this year, and if his ineptitude has been mostly swept under a rug by a fanbase and media who didn't hesitate to correctly excoriate Nishioka's ineptitude last year? If so, my answer is yes.
Dozier has been bad, but he's still an improvement on his middle infield counterparts except for Carroll. Nishi was excruciatingly bad last year and yet Casilla has had two seasons with a lower OPS+ than Nishi had last year (48) and Casilla is at 53 this year, which is 10 points worse than Dozier. At least Casilla is providing positive contributions on defense. Dozier has made about as many good plays as bad plays, so he rates out about mediocre on defense. He's going to need to provide more with the bat to provide positive contribution. His record in the minors makes me hopeful that he's better than he's shown, but I hope the Twins won't give him as many chances as Casilla.
Speaking of which, from the PiPress:
I think Bert hates Nishioka. Like Scott Baker not keeping the ball down in the zone hate.
Nishi is easy to dislike. No statistical analysis required.
Not your typical double-play, there. Fitting end to Cleveland's day.
Poetic
Puppies.
Scott Diamond continues his march to Rookie of the Year! The Twins are averaging fourteen runs a game with Nishioka in the starting lineup! We're still on track for 101-61!