Even casual fans, with proper coaching and education, are able to see that the Win is a flawed statistic for measuring pitcher performance. We can all take consolation in just how flawed the statistic is as the Twins begin a four-game series this evening at Fenway with Clay Buchholz taking the mound for Boston. Because Buchholz has notched six wins this year in his six starts and will be going for this seventh straight tonight. Earned Run Average is another pitching stat that's been maligned in recent years, though it certainly has more evaluative utility than the Win. So don't put too much stock in that 1.01 ERA that Buchholz will take to the mound with him, either. It's still early in the year, the sample size still small. And the fact that Buchholz is 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA against the Twins since 2010 shouldn't matter to you too much, either. Remember, numbers don't win games, players do. If you can repeat that mantra throughout the night about every ten minutes, in Joe Morgan's voice, you'll be just fine (or, ready for institutional commitment). There is still reason to hope for a Twins win tonight. Because just like warm weather in the spring, regression to the mean can come a lot later than you expect.
On the mound for the Twins tonight is Vance Worley, also tossing his seventh start of the year but with nary a Win to his credit and a 7.22 ERA to boot. But again, forget about the numbers. The beauty of this game is that anything can happen. Buchholz might get food poisoning or the gout. Somebody might shoot him in the arm with a tranquilizer dart during warmups. He could slip on a banana peel or some other less trite but equally slippery fruit rind and wrench his back. The point is that there's always hope. For Worley, who the Twins seem to be souring on a bit lately, the best hope is to keep the ball from flying out of the ballpark and to miss a heck of a lot more bats. Let's hope he can figure out how to do that tonight. And remember, hope is a good thing. It's just not a good basis for wagering.
Play ball!
nice writeup
--
pregame reading: Minnesota Twins bobblehead doll commercial: 10 awesome details
the commercial reminded me of the old days of BatGirl and her Lego recreations.
I saw the Minnie & Paul bobblehead in that earlier and immediately thought "I need one of those"
boooo
Twin doubles!
Willingham hustling to second. And maybe a bit lucky to get a double.
the middle of the lineup is blistering the ball
Buchholz == belly-itcher.
he smells too!
Keep 'em coming, guys.
I guess the trick was the spitball after all!
Time for Hicks to get another home run.
Really needed more than two, there.
blarg
at least the Twins worked the pitch count to 35+
Hicks == Broken Ladder.
Worley got lucky on that Ortiz at bat.
wiggle
Not a strikeout! Or an out!
pesky doubles!
isn't a Pesky Double a HR off the pole?
I am totally taking credit for that double.
Well, I mean, those two doubles would've been nice in the first inning, but we'll take 'em.
Saltalamacchia has caught one out of 14 baserunners. Yeah, steal on him.
Evening, gents. Anybody want to see my surgery scar?
Only if you did the sutures yourself. With fishing line.
I was really surprised they only used one stitch in a 3-inch incision, right in the middle. But they did keep it packed the first week.
ONE incision? pussy surgery. I have THREE scars, each of which got a stitch!
I do have a second incision where they put the drain tube. Taking that out was something else, like pulling your testicles out through your navel. So technically I do have two scars, and they did each have a stitch.
Taking the drain tube out of my knee after ACL surgery was discomfiting- I'm sure getting one removed from the abdominal area is excruciating.
Vas? Did they use duct-tape?
Nope, just one stitch, packing on each side of it, and a dressing on top. Because the appendix ruptured they wanted to be able to get back in quick and easy if I developed an abscess.
I just had my plantarsis muscle rupture - also a vestigial thing like the appendix. I wonder if in the future they will just rip this stuff out when we are born.
welcome, twayn. How long have you been out of the horsepistol?
Been out two weeks now, and was in for four days. Still not back to 100%, but feeling much better. Some tenderness around the incision and I'm not allowed to lift more than 15 pounds for a few more weeks, but I usually don't lift more than 12 ounces at a time anyway.
true dat. I'm up to 16 oz at a time.
httpv://youtu.be/bmFnv-TZzRs
Fool of a Took!
Recommendations for 12 oz:
Widmer Nelson Imperial IPA
Capt. Lawrence Imperial IPA.
Pyramid Outburst IPA.
300 foot homer.
enough with the give-backs, Bagger.
Ooh, Bagger- that's a good nickname, but I doubt Gardy will use it.
+1 Magical Will Smith character
Dubbel!
that smelled mighty porky. Damn.
I think Mauer got robbed of a triple because the ball bounced over the short wall
Missed it by this much.
Pedroia too short to make the catch.
Biscuit!
I think I saw a smoketrail from the ball on Willingham's hit. wooboy
Productive Out™
Sawks Baseball!
nice work by Plouffe to get Napoli to drop the ball
Plouffe distracts Napoli just enough.
Some grumbling from the F'way groundlings.
Bummah. Ok, hold the line, kids. I'm out.
wow -- Buchholz' spitter isn't working tonight, eh?
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Cheater.
He's gonna need to change his number.
httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FL6ExnC-7Us&sns=em
That is some kind of wonderful.
Can they give him a 10 year deal yet?
That is a heck of a sweet swing. He might need to be changing that number sooner than we all might have expected.
Tom Kelly says Buxton is the fastest player he has ever seen
I heard that interview. Kelly talked about Sano first and was fairly complimentary, but when it came to Buxton, he was, for TK, positively effusive.
I just got home from dinner and running errands, and we're only in the bottom of the 5th? We're definitely playing the Red Sox.
OH MY GOSH JOE MAUER!
Sweet Jane!
YDNT2SOJM!
YDNSOJM.
Joseph Patrick Mauer.
Provus made that sound pretty impressive.
Heh, as I thought originally, the glove didn't even touch
NavaDrew.What about The Force!!!
that play is up there with the time Mauer tagged Brett Gardner
on second look, Mauer never got a tag in. lol
So what happened now? Darn kids...
Sharp double to the right-center gap that Hicks cuts off. Hicks throws to second, Florimon briefly bobbles the ball before throwing home. Mauer jumps to catch the throw and as he's coming down, Drew awkwardly slides/plows into Mauer's right leg as Mauer reaches down attempting to tag him, getting the call.
Mauer took a relay throw high, so he jumped for it. Runner dude tried sliding under Mauer, only to be held up by Mauers legs. Ump called him out, but Mauer never really got a tag in.
link to gif of the play
Thanks. Impressive even without the actual tag.
I don't know about the Gardner play comparison, but this was pretty cool.
Occasional Revere play (and of course "The Catch") excepted, I don't know if I've ever seen a play live that I was as impressed with as the Gardner play.
This.
replay from the broadcast angle makes the play look more awesome
for the record, I didnt say 'better', but 'up there with'
that Gardner play is super awesome
Still awesome.
Every time I see it, I'm a little more in awe of it. That is an amazing play.
There is a link on that page saying Crede could return Monday!
Talk about a ghost in the machine.
Danger, Will Rogers.
why is Duensing pitching to right handed batters?
Because Gardy just knows, man.
Looky here
Nice!
Time to find a giant frame.
that is sweet!
LEWWWW! Very cool
Got some more Lew autograph cards coming in soon.
Breslow sighting!
Or not. Other lefty I guess. I blame bad info from Bremer.
Here he is. Just jumped the gun a bit.
the pace of this game has slowed down.
Crax.
Stupid right field fence.
[redacted]!
I think the Bros are a little generous with their review of this one.
Linds went to the Cities over the weekend with her mom, and she came back with a six pack mix and match full of porters and IPAs (plus a pilsner, because of the Bohemian connection). I've been sampling them tonight, and I must say... girl picked out some good stuff.
While you are imbibing why don't you head over to the half baked craf league and we can finish up our trade talks?
You want Halladay?
As much as you do.
So.... a lot??
I countered.
I accepted.
Pleasure doing business.
And that is who you drop? Wow.
There went Worley's first Win.
I heard it was a flawed statistic anyway.
I have to say, I loved the open Twayn. Loved it more than just about anything in this crazy, mixed up world. But...
.
httpv://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDGNsbLayJw
I wanted to mention earlier that I really liked the log open. Nice job, Twayn.
Dido.
Much better than a mere Dido.
Sharon
share alike, I say.
I would absolutely love to see her live. She had three of my favorite songs from last year (including my favorite song - "Give Out")
Thanks, guys.
Is that Ms. Von Etten? I still haven't listened to that record all the way through. I should get around to that soon.
I was more bummed about Buchholz's first loss.
🙁
From earlier, and I am paraphrasing, The Twins were warming Burton up in the event they had the lead going in to the 8th. Since the didn't they decided to keep Fein out there
Good call, Gardy.
FIAL
10 freakin' pitches to Pederaster
He just knows, man.
Crap.
Stopsinkingship time
Pedroia? Really?
Bleah.
Everything in Fenway Park/Yankee Stadium must take forever and be as painful as possible.
The one I went to actually took less then three hours.
Leaving Fien out there was a bad idea. Going to Swampstink was a worse idea. Lord.
But he turns walks into outs!
3:30 hours
and its not the 9th inning
HAW HAW
YDNDAONM.
You do not do anything on Joe Mauer.
I was going to ask.
You do not do anything on no Mauer.
!!!
How dare you try that on Joe Mauer!
YDNROJM!
Nice gun, Joe.
DOZIER!!!!!!!!
YEEESSS DOZIER!
DOZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZIERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!!!!
That was a Dozie(r).
Ummm?
*joins in with the obnoxious fans* "BRIAN DOZIER *clap clap clapclapclap*"
The BullDozier!
that's a blown save for my team, but i'm fine with that.
hmm, well, i think i have a DL spot open...
Was that a bomb? It looked like a bomb. Was that a bomb?
Looked like one from here. I'll assume it was.
probably not the best time to talk about bombs in boston...
I figure I'm allowed. My brother raced and my mother, sister and other brother were there to cheer.
Edit - though it's surprising how quickly we move on...
Robot umps NOW!!!!!!!!
?
Questionable call at first, Blue.
Really, really close. Don't rightly know. I'd say safe, but I'm more than a little biased.
Make up call.
Yeah, that's called safe.
tie goes to the runner, yo.
Someone better be loose in the pen. Swisssteak doesn't have anything tonight.
But how else will both Burton and Perkins get saves?
Also, how many pitches is Swagpants going to throw belt-high?
Answer: all of them.
Note to people who may stumble upon this game log after the fact: Zack's comment is not an exaggeration.
Thankfully, Somesuch still doesn't need much to dispatch Saltandamaltlickia.
Swizzlestick in the 9th? Someone wants to end this game soon.
Those were hittable pitches.... seems like luck.
Nice work, Swingset.
Well, I'll be Shortstacked.
'see ya later Pluf-fee' - random Boston fan too close tot he crowd mic.
Lots of pitches inside to Arcia.
Hell of an at bat by Oswaldo.
Not sure I like going to Wilkin Ramirez here.
He really did a great job stretching that out. I hope Ramirez was paying attention to the pitches.
Agreed to everything here.
Hicks could've done that.
Parmelee-Ramirez-Doumit in the outfield from here on out. Uffda.
yep, better score 5 runs this inning.
Does zero runs work? How about zero runs?
Aww, hell. Aaron Hicks could have done that.
Heads up by Plouffe, there.
[Redacted] Napoli.
Swarzak is still out there? Maybe this game will be coming to a merciful end here.
There will be no Sweetdeath release for you.
I know Arcia's demonstrated some curious work in the outfield so far, but this seems like exactly the kind of situation that best illustrates why giving him as many starts out there as possible and DHing either Doumit or Parmelee makes the most sense.
'gree.
I am looking through b-r defensive lineups in the year 2002, and Bobby Keilty started at CF 16 times. I dont remember him being a CFer
and there was a game where the starting OF was Mohr-Kielty-Restovich
Apparently Marty Cordova started 8 games in center in 1995.
Denny Hocking started 12 games in center in 2000? I definitely don't remember those games.
And apparently made 22 total center field starts for the Twins over his career (plus three more for the Rockies). Hocking's UZR/150 in 250.1 career center field innings: -51.7.
I remember attending one of those.
oh man, in 2008 more than once the OF combo was White-Monroe-Cuddyer
I have blocked RonDL White and Craig Monroe out of my memory
2007 was the first year I really began to watch Twins games in earnest. I remember RonDL and Craig Monroe - vividly.
May 19 2008: Delmon, Cuddyer, Kubes
oof
holy crap this lineup was used a few times in 2009
I'm getting a disturbing number of Jones-Hocking-Lawton and Lawton-Hocking-Cummings starting alignments in 2000-2001. WTF?
Tom Kelly loved Denny Hocking
Love is a hell of a drug.
Oct 1 2012: Herrmann, Revere, Carson
I had to click on Carson's name to figure out who he was.
Herrmann? The backup catcherr?
I'm prretty sure that nno mann nnamed Carrson has everr played baseball for the Minnnnesota Twinns.
Buh-bye, Petunia.
Sit down, Petunia.
Someone else was up in the pen? Finally.
Swarzak? Swarzak!
Snizzlesnap strikes back.
Smokescreen!
Swarzack is not a particularly good starter, and I don't like seeing him in high leverage situations, but I'm a fan of his in general, so that inning was fun to watch.
Smokestack must be wearing an asbestos uniform. He's been playing with fire for three innings and didn't get burned.
Did we sign another pitcher named Swarzak?
The fewer fans in the stands to create white noise, the douchier the sounds coming through on the on-field microphones.
I can't believe Fenway is mostly empty at this point of the game. Lame.
Bostonians have to get to work one hour earlier.
please score a run
Well, this is cutting into the time I had set aside to watch an X-Files rerun on Netflix.
That's it for me...night folks.
I should follow, but I won't.
I know it's still early, but Morneau has been underwhelming this year.
11 innings in Boston is never early.
I left for a concert after the top of the fourth inning. The concert had two acts. I have now returned, and the game is still going. The Red Sox take forever...
NOW Burton comes in
Napoli didnt even leave home plate. ha
Wow, pro-baller there. TK would've benched him for months.
GENE!!!
Chrissy Chrissy!
CHRISSY CHRISSY PARM PARM!
That'll help Chicky Chicky's UZR.
Nice play, CCPP!!
Linds even gave her begrudging approval.
Wilkin Ramirez, center fielder.
Wilkin Ramirez, center of center fielder.
I was wondering what people thought about a moratorium on critiquing Twins outfielders' range during the game logs?
I have a lot of range-based humor I couldn't use.
I'm fine with that as long as we can continue to critique their apparent lack of range.
meh.
Nevermind.
Eff.
Who woulda thought that lack of outfield defense would cost the game?
eh, its probably for the best that this game dont go any longer
we'll get a win tomorrow
Gardy knew Burton had a run in him tonight.
Well that ending sucked.
Nothing like waiting up until 11 pm to watch your team lose on the 4th hit of the night by a guy hitting under the Mendoza Line.
I don't know, having ten inches of drain tube removed from your abdomen is a pretty similar feeling.
And you got to experience 'em both! Poor guy...
Well, when you have to play a game in a goofy old park, goofy things are going to happen. I hope someday the Red Sox will get into the twenty-first century and put up a nice, modern field like the Twins have. Until then, though, we'll just have to settle for 147-15!
they should have one where have have to hit the ball at least 325 feet for a HR
Mo Vaughn dislikes this comment
But then the park would lose some of its chaaaaahhhhm.