Yesterday Dave Cameron published a piece on the mid-season turn around by one of the most singular Twins. It's not who you're thinking.
This post brought to you from an actual coffee shop. Mmmm, breve & croissant for breakfast.
Yesterday Dave Cameron published a piece on the mid-season turn around by one of the most singular Twins. It's not who you're thinking.
This post brought to you from an actual coffee shop. Mmmm, breve & croissant for breakfast.
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So for now we really want the Angels to lose. And the Yankees, we always want the Yankees to lose. Time to wake up and smell the Orioles, though.
Our hostel in Barcelona was directly across the street from a fantastic pâtisserie (or whatever that Catalan word for that is). I still think about those strawberry and kiwi breakfast tarts like 12 years later.
I once ate some sort of flaky pastry filled with what can only be described as "whipped butter heaven" in Assisi. I have no idea what it was, but I will never forget it.
that Cameron piece was fascinating. Still, ridiculously SST-ish. I can't see how Belisle could have discovered a new "skill" all of a sudden. But interesting explanation for the recent success.
I'm hesitant to describe it as a new skill for exactly that reason, too. If he was locating his pitches better than earlier in the season due to a mechanical tweak and getting these results, I'd probably feel like it was potentially sustainable. As it is, I'm dreading the regression that might be coming.
I don't know. All it takes is for Eddie or someone to say, "Hey, try taking a little off your pitches and maybe you'll get a bit better movement." Calling it a new skill is misleading, though.
My main concern is the FO deciding to give him a new, multi-year contract. Please, no. The guy is eminently replaceable.
Terry is gone, dude. I'm pretty sure if we can see the man behind the curtain, these guys already have too.
Let's hope. Some of us are still a little skittish, you know?
Trading kintzler at his peak value is what I hope is a sign that we no longer have to worry about things being Ryan-esque
Watching last night (especially that last strikeout), I thought it looked like his pitches were moving in all the right ways. I was surprised at that last swinging strike to end the game - it looked to me like contact was gonna happen.
Cameron dismissed new movement on old pitches as a reason, but it seems to me that, coupled with the foul ball observation, that could a big part of the explanation. Cameron only linked to the recent pitch movement, but compared to the first half of the year looks like this (if someone wants to table-ify this, please do!):
4-seam:
1st half: -4.41 Horizontal, 9.28 Vertical (inches)
2nd half: -4.95 H, 8.91 V
Sinker:
1st half: -7.54 H, 8.08 V
2nd half: -7.79 H, 5.81 V
Slider:
1st half: .73 H, 4.4 V
2nd half: 1.46 H, 4.43 V
Curve:
1st half: 6.34 H, -4.15 V
2nd half: 7.61 H, -5.04 V
Basically all of his pitches are breaking significantly more on the horizontal plane, which, so long as that means more starting on the plate and moving off, is probably going to induce more foul balls than balls in play.
Also, he hasn't thrown a changeup since July 1st. It wasn't a frequent selection for him (2% first half), but he appears to have gotten rid of it entirely.
Those means aren't all that informative without corresponding variances, however.
Additionally, his vertical movement is all over the map. What are we to make of the change in break on his sinker (which is supposed to , you know, sink)?
so, you could be right -- and maybe the horizontal movement is what matters most. I'm thinking that vertical movement is pretty important too, but ???
Yeah, that sinker stuck out to me too (it's about 10% of his pitches, FWIW).
I take your point regarding variances, but I think the means still speak to the point Cameron glossed over regarding increase in movement. He really dismissed that.
As for horizontal vs. vertical... my thought there is that horizontal movement might well speak to the type of contact generated (fair vs. foul), which is Cameron's larger point. Basically, I mean to suggest that Cameron spotted a phenomenon (more foul balls) but possibly passed over the cause thereof.
I think I agree regarding horizontal movement. Vertical movement is more the difference between a ground ball contact and a fly ball contact (or Big Pelf contact)
That seems intuitive, but the correlation between drop and ground ball outcomes seems to be modest at best (scroll down to the section on Chi-Chi Gonzalez.
Every foul ball last night, I was thinking, "There's another one!"
If B1G schools were GOT characters
This trivia question was just on Mackey and Judd this morning and I thought it was a good one:
Who is the only MN Twin to have 25 home runs and 25 stolen bases in one season?
Sorry no.
close but no cigar.
My first guess:
Nope. 29/23.
My second guess:
Nope. Not even close when he was with the Twins, but 24/40 one year for a different team.
Wow. Never would have gotten that.
Bingo!!
Oh, I know this!
Nice.
He didn't show his speed for as long as I'd thought. The season he came closest was pretty solid, though. Shannon Stewart Syndrome, back injuries, & tanning beds sapped him quickly.
And plantar fasciitis
(That's what I meant by "Shannon Stewart Syndrome.")
did not know Stewart was similarly inflicted. Cordova's was so well known that I would have said Stewart had Cordova's Disease
I think Stewart's sticks in my mind because he lost the better part of two seasons to the affliction after signing a three-year FA deal.
I'm going with
If you're going to have a "thing", that's a pretty excellent thing.
Also, I saw him when he played for the Alexandria Beetles, so that's cool.
Right. That may not be on the Adrian Beltre level of having a thing (because Beltre is inner-circle HOFer in terms of having a thing), but it's definitely quality.
Having trouble remembering our running Posnanski joak, but he wrote an important article, and you should read it .... no, it isn't about The Boss.
AMR alert:
b-ref's page for the 2017 Twins displays the Top 12 players by rWAR. The row features 11 mugshots taken for MLB photo day this season, and one guy in a photo from Ft. Myers that looks like it was taken with a potato.
*waits for HJ to photoshop a Twins cap on Mr. Potato Head*
Ya know, fellas, I just read today in three different spots that Byron is here to play, but I just don't see it. /boooooooooooooo #winks
Big night for Chris Herrrrmmmmmannnn for the Snakes tonight.
Poo-holes tied Ji-Jim for 7th all-time in dongers knocked tonight.