Joe Ryan
vs
Seth Lugo
I'm a believer in regression to the mean. Bad teams aren't that bad. The Twins collapse to end 2024 would reset and they would play .500-ish again. Well, we're still waiting.
Tag Archives: Seth Lugo
2024 Game 55: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Seth Lugo
vs
Bailey Ober
30-24 in 54 games is a 90-72 team. That's three wins better than last season but I'm not sure that's enough to win the suddenly competitive division this season. The #1, #4, and #5 records, by winning percentage in the AL, are in the ALC right now. Expanded postseason gives the Twins the final wild card but it's a tenuous position.
Attempting to improve that situation is Ober who was knocked out in the second inning of his March 31 start against the Royals. Now two of his earned runs happened after he left but it was still 6-0 before that. His opponent, Lugo, was scoreless over his six innings the day before with the Twins scoring five after he left to get the win. While the result was good, the way to get there doesn't seem repeatable.
2023 Game 37: San Diego Padres at Minnesota Twins
Seth Lugo
vs
Pablo López
Twins starters are tied with the Mariners for first in fWAR, 5.2. The Rays are third at 4.3. The relievers unfortunately rank 17th. More unfortunately, the batters are way down at 21st. Correa is a big part of that but Miranda has been worse. The success of the starters means it has been nice to know the team will be in the game until late each time. Sure, I also know those 2-0 games very likely could end up at 2-0 or 2-1 but it's nicer than knowing last season it will not stay at only two runs given up.