26 thoughts on “February 27, 2024: Warm Spell”

    1. In case you haven’t come across it at a game night, Catan (formerly called “Settlers of Catan,” and often referred to simply as “Settlers”)

      Was it really shortened to "Settlers" by people? I get why they changed the name and calling it only "Catan" was my mental shorthand too.

    2. I purchased Catan as a Christmas gift for the family two years ago … we still haven’t played it (and I never have before) because my kids were 7 & 10, it felt sort of intimidating, and I’ve only now remembered it is in the games closet.

    1. Margot a journeyman? He's played for two teams, four years each. He's projected for about a 95 wRC+ and Taylor is projected for a 85 wRC+. He has less power but strikes out half as much so his OBP is a lot better.

      It's totally shopping in the bargain bin but it's a good move nonetheless.

      1. Margot appears to be mediocre defensively. Taylor, significantly better.

        Neither is exactly stellar offensively, but Taylor still was (slightly) better by oWAR last year in only about 50 more PA, thanks to much better SLG.

        Sure, bargain bin. If either were needed to play a lot, something else (*cough* Buxton *cough*) will have gone significantly wrong.

        1. Taylor still was (slightly) better by oWAR last year in only about 50 more PA, thanks to much better SLG.

          That's why projections exist. Taylor's wRC+ since his career best of 104 in 2017: 104, 71, 74, 76, 75, 89, 96. He's going to be 33 this season. Consider his 89 wRC+ in 2022 I'll take a healthy over of him in the 70s again but his projection of ~85 wRC+ seems reasonable. Margot over the same span: 90, 81, 84, 94, 94, 105, 93 with a projection for next year around a 95 wRC+ plus he's four years younger.

          1. That's why projections exist.

            True. Of course, trends and age matter. Some sources suggest that Margot's defense has taken a nosedive the last couple of seasons, due to declining sprint speed (since his arm is nothing special to begin with).

            At least he is relatively cheap.

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