All posts by sean

2023 Game 127: Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers

Kenta Maeda
vs
Corbin Burnes

I'm convinced the Twins cannot be more than six games above .500. If they win a bunch, then they will need to lose a bunch to never be too far above .500. They're back to +4 games so a win is again safe.

The extremely short "road" trip ends today. Texas is next on the schedule so they can bank some losses before the Guardians visit.

2023 Game 116: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

Bailey Ober
vs
Alex Faedo

Ober's quality start run came to a crashing end in July, lasting only four innings and giving up six runs. His start last week against Arizona didn't qualify due to pitching five innings but his game score of 50 is exactly average. Ober's only start against Detroit fit the quality start metric exactly with six innings and three runs allowed. That would have worked on Monday but only Haddix perfection had a chance to earn a win yesterday.

Alex Faedo might be the guy to fix the offense. A former first round pick, he finally made it to the majors last year. He has a career 5.70 ERA, and 4.70 FIP, in 89 ⅓ innings for a negative WAR but good for him to make the majors at 26. He faced the Twins once last year, earning a no decision with two runs given up in five innings that the Tigers eventually won 3-2.

2023 Game 109: Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals

Joe Ryan
vs
Dakota Hudson

Yesterday's game marked two-thirds of the season. Pro-rating to the full 162 games puts the Twins at 82.5 wins, a mere tenth of a win below their preseason forecast. FanGraphs is more optimistic now, projecting them at 83.5 wins.

Cardinals tore it down while the Twins did nothing (on deadline day). I can't really blame them after making big trades last year that did poorly. Sure would be nice to have Steer's .320/.377/.602 versus lefties with the Twins this year.