All posts by sean

2023 Game 158: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins

Joey Estes
vs
Pablo López

Estes made his MLB debut last week against Seattle. He gave up six runs, five earned, over his 4 ⅔ innings. His MiLB is decent but not great. He's still young as his 22nd birthday happens during this year's Division Series.

The Twins are now 11 wins over .500. Their preseason projections had them barely winning the division at 83 wins. They now predict three additional wins over the final five games to get them to 87 wins. They've finished with 87 wins once as the Twins in 2009 and once as the Senators in 1945. The Tigers finished ahead of them by one win in 1945 but they also played three fewer games. The Senators managed two ties in their 156 games.

López ranks well on several AL leaderboards. He's second in strikeouts; ten more puts him in front if Gausman does not make another start. He's tenth in ERA at 3.61; another solid start would put him ahead of Berríos at ninth with 3.58. Seven shutout innings would put him above Eflin's 3.50 (six scoreless might at 3.4957). His FIP ranks slightly better at sixth with 3.60. Another win puts him at 12 for the season and in a many-way tie for seventh. He's eighth in WHIP, right ahead of Gray. Breaking that apart so he's tenth in the H part and fifth in the W part. K/9 he's third and a high strikeout game might put him second. Fifth in innings pitched, two ahead of Kyle Gibson. Finally, his rWAR is tied with rookie Tanner Bibee for seventh at 3.6 WAR. It's been a great season and he will get first crack at earning a postseason win.

2023 Game 146: Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins

Taj Bradley
vs
Dallas Keuchel

Another Wednesday, another day game.

Another surprisingly decent start by Keuchel against the Mets. Now he's facing an actually good team. This is also the final game the Twins have against a good team this season. Yes, it's only game 146. Next up is a road trip against the White Sox and Reds (75-71 right now). After that it's a gentle stretch into the postseason with the Angels and Athletics visiting before the final series in Denver.

2023 Game 140: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians

Day game alert!

Joe Ryan
vs
Gavin Williams

A much better showing against Cleveland this year in September that last year. The division is nearly clinched so finishing off the sweep will cut the magic number to 15, give the Twins a winning record against Cleveland, and put them into the (AL Central) vaunted air of eight games over .500.

Gavin started the middle game of the series in Minnesota, pitching only a single inning due to injury. He hasn't pitched since so it might be another short start from either injury or rust.

2023 Game 127: Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers

Kenta Maeda
vs
Corbin Burnes

I'm convinced the Twins cannot be more than six games above .500. If they win a bunch, then they will need to lose a bunch to never be too far above .500. They're back to +4 games so a win is again safe.

The extremely short "road" trip ends today. Texas is next on the schedule so they can bank some losses before the Guardians visit.