Time flies.
Game 81. The season's half over. How did that happen? It feels like the season is just getting started. I'll never understand it when people say the baseball season is too long. I think the season's not nearly long enough. The old Pacific Coast League, where they used to play two hundred games or so in a season--now that's more like what a baseball season should be.
So at the half-way point, where are we? Well, the Twins were defying expectations for most of it, but their recent losing spell has dropped them seven games below .500 at 37-44. If they did that in the second half, my South Dakota math tells me they'd be 74-88, which would be an improvement, but not a very big one.
It feels like this team is better than it has been the last few years, even if the standings don't show much improvement. The biggest advance is the starting pitching. They have one pitcher, Hughes, who could almost be considered an ace. They have another, Gibson, who has pitched pretty well with the exception of a few starts. After a rough start Kevin Correia has been decent. Nolasco has disappointed, but there's reason to hope he might get better. The fifth starter spot hasn't done much, but a lot of teams struggle with their fifth starter. The starting pitching has kept the Twins in the game most of the time, and the bullpen, while perhaps not as consistent as one might hope, has been reliable most of the time as well.
We expected the Twins to struggle to score runs. At the start of the season they defied that expectation, but more recently they've lived up to it. They're not going to be an offensive juggernaut, but there's reason to hope for some improvement. Joe Mauer had a disappointing first half, but he's on an eleven-game hitting streak, giving up hope that he will play more like Joe Mauer in the second half. Kendrys Morales isn't a .215 hitter. Oswaldo Arcia can do better than he's doing. If Danny Santana can come back and continue to play well, that would certainly help.
So, it's time to trot out my Niels Bohr quote again. "Predictions are hard, especially about the future." The Twins certainly could fall off the cliff in the second half, as they've done in recent years, but there's reason to hope that they won't. They may not make a run at .500 (although it's possible), but they have a good shot at avoiding ninety losses. As the George Strait song says, at least it's a start. It's better than nothin'.
As for last night's game. Yohan Pino pitched about as well as we should probably expect him to. He got into the sixth inning and gave up four runs. I couldn't watch or listen to the game, but some comments in the game log lead me to think his numbers might have looked better with better outfield defense. The bullpen pitched well, with Burton giving up two runs when he was asked to get five outs in one inning.
Chris Parmelee got two hits, raising his average to .273. He has a ten-game hitting streak of his own if you don't count games in which he played the field but did not bat, which I assume you don't. He's raised his average 112 points and his OPS 213 points in that span. This could be a small sample size fluke, or Parmelee could be developing into the hitter the Twins hoped he would be after his big 2012 season in Rochester. If he can do that, it would be another reason to hope the Twins avoid another race to the bottom this season.
So, we continue our series with the Royals tonight. Ricky Nolasco goes for the Twins. As I've said before, he's had a lot of almost good starts. He doesn't seem like he's that far away, he just doesn't seem like he's getting closer. Maybe he will tonight. In fact, there's no maybe about it. He will! We're going to start our season-ending eighty-one-game winning streak! We'll just have to settle for 118-44!
I saw your Header and thought, "That can't be right! Only game 61?" Then, I read your intro and thought, "Game 81!? That can't be right!" Then I realized I'd done Game 80's log yesterday and yes, the season truly is half over.
They managed 9 hits last night but only scored once. The Royals had 10 hits but plated 6. I was thinking that seemed like a microcosm of the season, but a look at the numbers tell me not really: as a team, they are 14th in the league in Hits, bottom third in Runs (11th), RBI (10th) and Batting Average (12th).
Where I was pretty confident that pitching would be the biggest issue this year - and that's how it started out. Recently, injuries and ineffectiveness have swung the dial over to offense being the biggest issue (in my mind). Even with some encouraging signs, the pitching numbers aren't good: Bottom third in WHIP, 14th in ERA & BAA and last in total K's and K/9.
Avoiding 90 losses would be nice, and you're right - it could happen. I always fall for the early season wins suggesting the team has turned the corner. They feel like a better team, but the results (especially lately) say differently.
I changed it to Game 81. It's what happens when I do these things early in the morning.
I'd prefer if it were actually only Game 61...I've been saying to myself, "SSS! It's too early to make prognostications about the team. You can't really assess a player until he's had 50 innings or 100 at-bats! Just wait until the
1/41/3halfway point." Now I'm just sad to see our fears confirmed.HOPING FOR MEDIOCRITY indeed.
Atteberry mentioned last year's record at this time and I realized that we'd squandered our early start and are now only a game better than last year's club. I agree that this is better team than last year's, but until Joe becomes Joe and we stop throwing people at positions God never meant for them to play, we're only shackling ourselves.
The Twins went 5-20 to finish the season last year, so comparing records at this point is a little hard to do. If the Twins maintain the same record through the end of August, they just need to avoid a complete collapse to show good record improvement.
I really don't think they'll fall apart this year the way they have in recent years unless they get injuries to some key players.
The STrib story was about how the Twins are bad with RISP. I hate that because the Twins are just bad at hitting in general and it usually is harder with RISP. The Twins are second in the AL in walks, but 14th in hits and slugging. That's going to lead to a lot of RISP being left. The lack of power is the Twins biggest problem not lack of "clutch hitting." How do you fix clutch hitting anyways? You either get better hitting overall or you hope for better luck. If media and fans focus on lack of clutch hitting, I think that will only lead to even worse clutch hitting as batters try to make up for it by swinging at pitches they shouldn't swing at in clutch situations.