Prediction time! With the Twins Magic Number at 9, and a relatively easy 13 game schedule from here on out, a Twins Central Division win is a near certainty. So let’s do a contest when the Twins will outright clinch the division. Below is the schedule for both teams to help you decide. The earliest the Twins could clinch is this Friday September 20th.
| Day | Date | MN Game | CLE Game |
|---|---|---|---|
| M | 9.16 | CWS@MN | |
| TU | 9.17 | CWS@MN | DET@CLE |
| W | 9.18 | CWS@MN | DET@CLE |
| TH | 9.19 | KC@MN | DET@CLE |
| F | 9.20 | KC@MN | PHI@CLE |
| SA | 9.21 | KC@MN | PHI@CLE |
| SU | 9.22 | KC@MN | PHI@CLE |
| M | 9.23 | ||
| TU | 9.24 | MN@DET | CLE@CWS |
| W | 9.25 | MN@DET | CLE@CWS |
| TH | 9.26 | MN@DET | CLE@CWS |
| F | 9.27 | MN@KC | CLE@WAS |
| SA | 9.28 | MN@KC | CLE@WAS |
| SU | 9.29 | MN@KC | CLE@WAS |
Put your prediction in the comments below (spoiler if you want). Try to get them in by say before Tuesday's game. Then sit back and see when the Twins will be sipping (and spilling) champagne.
B-R did 1000 simulations, and of the ones which occurred more than 10 times and involving the Twins:
Three things I get out of this exercise -- Twins are in the WS at least 16% of the time, the Twins should strive to catch the Braves, and Go Cubs! :/
I’ve got you by ~44 minutes.
I'm thinking if we have a bunch of the same dates, that a tie-breaker will be if you think the clinch will be because (1) the Twins win and Cleveland loses that day; (2) Minnesota wins and Cleveland wins; or, (3) Minnesota loses, Cleveland loses.
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That is a lot of confidence in Cleveland, since the Twins are winning out, amiright?
We're still on track for 104-58!