Category Archives: Minnesota Twins

Build A Team: 2023 Minnesota Twins

Another disappointing season for the local nine. Free agency starts on Thursday so it's time to build a team that can do more than win low 90s in a weak division.

Team roster

I've tentatively written in the more prominent players from 2022 still on the roster. Mix and match as you see it.

Position players (13)

Catchers (2): Jeffers, ??
1B: Arraez
2B: Polanco
3B: Miranda
SS:
DH:
Utility/backups (2):
LF: Gordon
CF: Buxton
RF: Kepler
Backup outfielder: Celestino

Pitchers (13)

Starters (5): Gray, Ryan, ...
Relievers (50 8): Duran, ...

Here are the players under contract right now. Roster information from RosterResource.

Guaranteed contracts for 2023

Player 2023 cost (millions)
Byron Buxton $15.143
Sonny Gray $12.5
Max Kepler $8.5
Jorge Polanco $7.5
Kenta Maeda $3.125
Rodney Dobnak $1.5
TOTAL $48.268

Arbitration-eligible players

All figures estimated.

Player 2023 cost (millions)
Gio Urshela $9.2
Emilio Pagán $3.7
Tyler Mahle $7.2
Caleb Thielbar $2.4
Jorge López $3.7
Chris Paddack $2.4
Luis Arraez $5.0
Cody Stashak $0.8
Jorge Alcala $0.8
Kyle Garlick $1.1
TOTAL $36.3

Not yet arbitration-eligible, on 40-player

Some of these players were on the 60-day IL and will go back to start 2023.

  • Jordan Balazovic
  • Gilberto Celestino
  • Mark Contreras
  • Jhoan Duran
  • Blayne Enlow
  • Nick Gordon
  • Ronny Henriquez
  • Griffin Jax
  • Ryan Jeffers
  • Alex Kirilloff
  • Trevor Larnach
  • Royce Lewis
  • José Miranda
  • Trevor Megill
  • Jovani Moran
  • Bailey Ober
  • Joe Ryan
  • Cole Sands
  • Caleb Thielbar
  • Louie Varland
  • Matt Wallner
  • Josh Winder
  • Simeon Woods Richardson
Category Amount
Guaranteed $48.268
Arbitration $36.3
Minimum to fill roster (10, $720k each) $7.2
TOTAL $91.768

Estimated final payroll for 2022 was $142 million. Estimated current 2023 payroll is $91.8 million. That's $50 million or a little more to spend to fill holes. What trades do you make? How will you spend the Pohlads' money?

TOP 300 MINNESOTA TWINS OF ALL TIME: UPDATED THROUGH 2022

The Minnesota Twins have now completed 62 years of baseball and it is year 11 of putting my pet project on the WGOM site.

2022 was another tough season for the local fans, even with a strong start to the season. Despite the team failures, there was quite a bit of movement within the top 300 list as well as 9 newcomers adding to the list. This year's newcomers are Carlos Correa, Gio Urshela, Joe Ryan, Nick Gordon, Jose Miranda, Sonny Gray, Jhoan Duran, Gary Sanchez, and Trevor Larnach.

In the top 100 Twins, there was some movement amongst the returning Twins. The top current Twin is still Jorge Polanco who moved up 4 spots to #36. Right behind him at #39 is Byron Buxton, up 12 spots from a year ago. Rocketing up 62 spots into the top50 is Luis Arraez at #48. Max Kepler jumped 4 spots to #60 and Miguel Sano dropped 2 spots to #62.

In, the 101-200 range, Jake Cave drops one spot to #198 and is joined by newcomers Carlos Correa (119), Gio Ursela (176) and Joe Ryan (200).

In the 201-300 range, Caleb Thielbar moved up 23 spots to #202. Tyler Duffey dropped 5 spots to #209. Ryan Jeffers moves up 47 spots to #251. They're joined by newcomers Nick Gordon (207), Jose Miranda (225), Sonny Gray (255), Jhoan Duran (290), Gary Sanchez (293), and Trevor Larnach (296).

Falling out of the top300 this year are Tom Herr, Johnny Goryl, Neal Heaton, Dave LaRoche, Paul Thormodsgard, Williams Astudillo, Tom Prince, Graig Nettles, and Randy Dobnak.

I stole the idea from when Aaron Gleeman started his top40 list over a decade ago, but just decided to expand to a nice big round 300. The below quote is his, and the rest is an excerpt from a book I put together at the 50 year mark. I’ve updated the list and stats through 2022.

“The rankings only include time spent playing for the Minnesota Twins. In other words, David Ortiz doesn’t get credit for turning into one of the best players in baseball after joining the Red Sox and Paul Molitor doesn’t get credit for being one of the best players in baseball for the Brewers and Blue Jays. The Twins began playing on April 11, 1961, and that’s when these rankings start as well.”

I used a variety of factors, including longevity and peak value. Longevity included how many years the player was a Twin as well as how many plate appearances or innings pitched that player had in those years. For peak value, I looked at their stats, honors, and awards in their best seasons, as well as how they compared to their teammates. Did they lead their team in OPS or home runs or ERA for starters or WPA? If so, that got some bonus points. I factored in postseason heroics, awards (gold gloves, silver sluggers, MVPs, Cy Youngs), statistical achievements (batting titles, home run leaders, ERA champs, etc), and honors (all star appearances), and I looked at team success as well. If you were the #1 starter on a division winning champ, that gave you more points than the #1 starter on a cellar dweller. I looked at some of the advanced stats like WPA, WAR (as calculated by fan graphs and baseball-reference.com), WARP (as calculated by Baseball Prospectus), and Win Shares (as calculated by Bill James). For hitters, I also looked at OPS and the old school triple crown statistics like batting average, home runs, stolen bases, and RBI (and not only where you finished within the AL in any given year, but where you appear on the top25 lists amongst all Twins in the last 60 years). For pitchers I looked at strikeouts, innings pitched, win/loss percentage, ERA as well as ERA+). If there was a metric that was used for all 61 years of Twins history, I tried to incorporate it. I tended to give more credit to guys who were starters instead of part time/platoon players, more credit to position players over pitchers (just slightly, but probably unfairly) and starters over relievers (and closers over middle relievers). There’s no formula to my magic, just looking at a lot of factors and in the end going with the gut in all tie-breakers. Up in the top25 I’m looking at All star appearances, Cy Young and MVP votes, batting average or ERA titles or top10 finishes, etc, and placement in the top25 hitting and pitching lists in Twins history as well. In the middle 100s, it’s more about who started a few more years or had 2 good seasons rather than 1 with possibly an occasional all-star berth or top10 finish in SB or strikeouts. Once you’re in the latter half of the 200s there are none of those on anyone’s resume, so its basically just looking at peak season in OPS+ or ERA+, WAR, Win Shares, and who started the most years, had the most at bats, or pitched the most innings. What the player did as a coach, manager, or broadcaster is not taken into consideration for this list, so Billy Martin, Tom Kelly or Billy Gardner weren’t able to make the top 300 since they were poor players and Frank Quilici and Paul Molitor didn’t improve his status due to his managing career.

Feel free to pick it apart and decide in your opinion, who was slighted, and who's overrated. Columns are sort-able if you want to see how each player ranks by any of the metrics or "years as a starter" or their last year with the team to see the more recent players.

Continue reading TOP 300 MINNESOTA TWINS OF ALL TIME: UPDATED THROUGH 2022