The Timberwolves are 98 point favorites for this one, so they should win. Despite this, I predict a close game with the Wolves winning their first game by fewer than 5 points this season.
Math.
The Timberwolves are 98 point favorites for this one, so they should win. Despite this, I predict a close game with the Wolves winning their first game by fewer than 5 points this season.
Math.
There are not many times that I would report on a math conference here. For that matter, there aren't too many times when anybody would report on any math conference on any sports blog. However, this is no ordinary sports blog and this is no ordinary conference. I didn't have any strict agenda for this conference, which meant that I could pretty much do whatever I wanted. This meant attending talks on such things as pop-up books, checkers, and knitting, among other things (don't worry, I also attended talks about "real" math while I was there, too)
Of course I was thrilled to find out that today, as well as tomorrow morning, there was a special session on sports math. Other than judging the undergraduate poster session (which was the only real thing I had to do) and going to one other talk, I pretty much spent my entire afternoon there. It started out with a very good talk entitled "Are Umpires Racist?" Since none of you were there, I'll spoil it for you. The short answer is "not in general, but there might be a few who are."
There was one talk, however, that really stood out above the rest. It was given by Ben Baumer who previously worked for the Mets, but has since left to become a professor at Smith College. The talk was about openWAR--an open source statistical package for baseball. He started by discussing what WAR is, as well as what a replacement level player is. WAR is somewhat ambiguous and replacement level is pretty much undefined. He suggested that for replacement level players, we should take out the 750 players in baseball who have played the most, and then aggregate the rest.
There were many other interesting things he discussed, but I won't go into too much detail. You can see the abstract here, and the slides for a slightly different version of the talk here.
After the talk, there was a group surrounding him and he seemed to be talking to one other person in particular, so I nudged my way into the circle. I had to leave before it was over, but later found out the guy he was talking to was the creator of baseball-reference.com! Aren't math conferences fun?
It's halftime. The Wolves are down by 3. We got this.
I realize that the referees are sometimes afraid to make a game-deciding bad call, but I've always said, a bad no-call can just as easily decide the game. We saw that on Monday when Shawn Marion capped off a career night by using a wily veteran move and grabbing Kevin Love's arm while he's trying to shoot.
At least the league admitted it was a mistake, but if that play happens in the middle of the 2nd quarter, it's a foul 95% of the time. Refs, like players, shouldn't worry about being clutch. They should officiate the end of the game like they would any other part of the game.
Anywho, the Wolves play the Pelicans tonight and will win by at least 50.
I had a good time last night at the Wolves game. Three minutes into the game and they were down 9-0, but by the middle of the 3rd quarter, the game was pretty much a blowout. After the game, I saw Rubio leaving in his vehicle (he drives a Range Rover) and was about 10 feet away from him, which was pretty cool.
The Wolves have struggled big time in the second half of back-to-backs, but they have an easier task tonight against Milwaukee and their starters got a lot of rest in the 4th quarter last night.
I'm excited to try posting in this new look website. The Wolves have struggled in the second half of back-to-back games this year--particularly on the road--but I'm predicting a massive blowout because Kevin Love.
It's halftime. This game is awesome. What's up?
Anybody else watching?
It's a battle of teams at opposite ends of the 3-point spectrum. Discuss.
You know, I'm getting pretty sick of watching this team lose. I really felt like that game against NY was one they should have won. I mean, how many dunks can one team miss?
I'm known for making bold predictions, so here's one. THE WOLVES WILL WIN THIS GAME!!!