This is it, the final MLB game of the season. Extract the maximum amount of baseball enjoyment you can because you have only the winter leagues and a stove of indeterminate heat until spring training. Or, you know,
there's some other sport happening now too. Finally, there's a bracket that someone will win tonight.
The series is tied 2-2 and Max Sherzer is a scratch tonight with pulsations in his trapezoid or something. I'd say that shifts the edge to the Astros, but I've been wrong before. Play ball!
Game in progress.
Nationals will ...
Win in DC
(50%, 2 Votes) Win in Houston
(50%, 2 Votes) Lose in Houston
(0%, 0 Votes)
Before Game 1,
ZiPS had the Astros at 59.7% chance of winning. After Cole losing for the first time since the Nationals were bad, now the Nationals have a 57.8% chance of winning. However, the Astros still maintain a greater than 50% chance of winning every game of the series.
Verlander vs Paxton
Three must win games for the Yankees. Prior to yesterday's game, Szymborski
calculated the Astros winning game four followed by three Yankees wins at 5.9% chance of happening following the rainout. Not quite the least likely but very close. The Astros meanwhile had a 70.1% chance.
Fast forward through a pleasingly error-filled Yankees loss and that probability is now 92%. They also have an improbable 65% chance at winning it all. That unfortunately means another short series and lots of waiting until the World Series.
Stuck with only ALCS now.
Greinke vs Tanaka
I opined to someone that I'm not sure if this series will make it back to St. Louis. I doubt there will be a sweep but winning two games against Strasburg, Corbin, and Sánchez seems unlikely.
James Paxton vs Justin Verlander
Astros discover for themselves the Yankees are pretty good. They have some good pitchers too so this should be a good series still.
Washington at St. Louis, in progress.
Max "7/$210 million and already worth $250 million" Scherzer vs Adam Wainwright
New York at Houston, 7:08 p.m.
Masahiro Tanaka vs Zack Greinke
Game in progress, bottom of the 1st.