Tag Archives: analytics

Maximum Times Scoring Some Runs

Inspired by Rhu_Ru's question in Saturday's game, I decided to look it up. An hour later and I have something to check every game from 1901 through 2017. I split up the analysis into two groups, one team and combined teams, and categorized that based on length of game: fewer than nine innings, nine innings, and extra innings. The nine inning games can be either the full nine innings or nine for the visitor and eight for the home team. Fewer than nine innings required both teams to play no more than eight innings while extra innings requires both teams to play at least ten.

Nine Innings

Minimum Runs Scored Times for One Team One Team Games Times for Both Teams Combined Team Games
1 9 4: BLF191507012 PHI192306010 CHN196409130 CHN199905050 14 12: PHA190105070 PHI192306010 PHI192307050 DET192704230 DET194007020 CHN197507060 CHN197605050 DET199505280 COL199606300 SEA199906120 COL200109240 CHA200707061
2 7 8: PHI192009140 NY1192409101 PHA193206030 KC1195504230 CHN195709021 CHN195908130 DET199604240 ATL199906130 11 3: PHI192009140 PHI192905181 PHA193206030
3 6 3: KC1195504230 CHN198708160 DET199604240 8 3: PHI192305110 PHI193009230 CHN198708160
4 4 30: CIN190106090 NY1191206050 BOS191607152 PHI192307130 PIT192506200 CHN193006230 PHI193505150 PHA193605240 BRO193607291 PHA193906281 CIN194006080 NY1194404301 BOS195006080 KC1195504230 BAL195508142 KC1196208190 TOR197806260 PHI198506110 SFN198807090 COL199305300 SEA199405200 COL199508180 COL199905190 SFN200409030 BAL200708221 SLN201008030 NYA201108250 BOS201508150 WAS201704300 KCA201707200 6 3: CIN190106090 PHI193009230 BOS201508150
5 4 3: PHA193605240 BOS195006080 BAL200708221 4 15: CIN190106090 NYA190707011 DET192007250 CHN192208250 PHI192307130 CHN193509140 PHA193605240 BOS195006080 CHN197508230 TOR199507290 NYA199804100 TEX200005050 COL200107210 CHA200109020 BAL200708221
6 3 2: CLE192807290 BAL200708221 4 1: CHN192208250
7 2 50: PHA190105020 CIN190109230 CIN190205130 NYA190407140 PHI191105110 CIN191106040 CHN192208250 SLN192506220 WS1192509192 CIN192509250 CLE192807290 PHI192907062 PHI193208010 SLA193605110 WS1193806120 PHA194007200 BOS194009270 BRO194307100 DET194606261 BRO194707030 BOS195006080 BOS195006100 BRO195006240 BSN195106300 SLN195306230 CIN195706010 MON197406110 DET197608082 CHN197705170 CHA198104231 PHI198506110 MON199010010 BOS199109080 MIN199304250 SEA199606280 CLE199905070 PHI199907030 ARI199908020 BOS200006190 OAK200009300 CHN200105050 MIN200306120 BAL200708221 COL200905250 CHA201006090 BOS201204210 TEX201205300 CHA201209040 NYN201209200 MIN201706130 3 3: PHI191105110 CHN192208250 WS1193806120
8 2 13: PHA190105020 NYA190407140 PHI191105110 CHN192208250 SLN192506220 CLE192807290 PHI192907062 BRO194307100 CHN197705170 OAK200009300 CHN200105050 BAL200708221 TEX201205300 3 1: CHN192208250
9 2 5: PHA190105020 CHN192208250 PHI192907062 BRO194307100 BAL200708221 2 8: PHA190105020 CHN192208250 PHI192907062 NY1193004290 NYA193306030 BRO194307100 TBA200607220 BAL200708221
10 2 3: CHN192208250 PHI192907062 BRO194307100 2 4: CHN192208250 PHI192907062 NYA193306030 BRO194307100

Eight or Fewer Innings

Minimum Runs Scored Times for One Team One Team Games Times for Both Teams Combined Team Games
1 7 4: NY1190708220 BRO191408152 DET192010012 PHA193606132 11 3: NY1190708220 BRO194208220 BOS196904160
2 6 2: DET190109150 PHA193606132 7 5: CHN190710020 BOS194105170 BRO194707041 CHA194708242 CHN195405022
3 4 12: NY1190109052 DET190109150 DET190205180 BRO191204110 CHA192309010 DET192707092 PHA193606132 PHA193908132 BOS194105170 PHI194307112 CHA194708242 BRO195208160 6 2: DET190205180 BOS194105170
4 4 1: DET190205180 6 1: DET190205180
5 3 2: DET190205180 PHA193908132 5 1: DET190205180
6 2 5: MLA190109070 PHI193405220 CHA193509292 NYA194008132 PIT195107042 2 8: MLA190109070 BOS191205292 CLE192507090 PHI193405220 CHA193509292 NYA194008132 PIT195107042 CHA197607200
7 2 3: MLA190109070 NYA194008132 PIT195107042 2 4: MLA190109070 NYA194008132 PIT195107042 CHA197607200
8 1 45: MLA190109070 CIN190208242 NYA190409020 SLN191204160 BOS191209260 CIN191410042 DET191605292 BRO191609150 BRO192209242 CLE192406280 PHI192409052 PHI192705140 WS1192908042 BSN193006012 PHA193408090 SLA193409222 CHA193509292 NYA193608282 BRO193809292 PHA194005302 BOS194008252 PIT194107272 BRO194507292 NY1194707010 NY1194707112 CHN194909040 CHN195405022 NYA195407070 CHN195608232 CLE195809090 CIN196608130 DET196906222 SLN197208020 TEX197605230 CIN198008180 CHA198309150 DET198309200 KCA198309240 BOS198908292 CHN199307180 BOS200406250 CLE200606210 SEA200709261 BOS200909120 CLE201109190 1 45: MLA190109070 CIN190208242 NYA190409020 SLN191204160 BOS191209260 CIN191410042 DET191605292 BRO191609150 BRO192209242 CLE192406280 PHI192409052 PHI192705140 WS1192908042 BSN193006012 PHA193408090 SLA193409222 CHA193509292 NYA193608282 BRO193809292 PHA194005302 BOS194008252 PIT194107272 BRO194507292 NY1194707010 NY1194707112 CHN194909040 CHN195405022 NYA195407070 CHN195608232 CLE195809090 CIN196608130 DET196906222 SLN197208020 TEX197605230 CIN198008180 CHA198309150 DET198309200 KCA198309240 BOS198908292 CHN199307180 BOS200406250 CLE200606210 SEA200709261 BOS200909120 CLE201109190
9 1 21: MLA190109070 CIN190208242 SLN191204160 DET191605292 BRO192209242 PHI192409052 BSN193006012 PHA193408090 SLA193409222 NYA193608282 PHA194005302 BOS194008252 BRO194507292 DET196906222 SLN197208020 TEX197605230 CHA198309150 DET198309200 KCA198309240 BOS198908292 CLE201109190 1 21: MLA190109070 CIN190208242 SLN191204160 DET191605292 BRO192209242 PHI192409052 BSN193006012 PHA193408090 SLA193409222 NYA193608282 PHA194005302 BOS194008252 BRO194507292 DET196906222 SLN197208020 TEX197605230 CHA198309150 DET198309200 KCA198309240 BOS198908292 CLE201109190
10 1 8: SLN191204160 BRO192209242 BSN193006012 SLA193409222 NYA193608282 BOS194008252 CHA198309150 DET198309200 1 8: SLN191204160 BRO192209242 BSN193006012 SLA193409222 NYA193608282 BOS194008252 CHA198309150 DET198309200

Extra Innings

Minimum Runs Scored Times for One Team One Team Games Times for Both Teams Combined Team Games
1 8 17: DET192009170 BSN192704180 PIT192906150 PHI193007232 CLE193207100 DET193307270 CHN193507220 NYA193807130 CHN197707280 CHN197809190 ATL198507040 OAK198907050 CLE199407200 CHN199509280 COL199709061 DET199809140 ATL200409120 15 6: PIT192906150 PHI193007232 CLE193207100 CHN193507220 ATL198507040 CHN199509280
2 6 2: BRO192206210 MIN197009290 11 1: BRO192206210
3 5 1: CHN197905170 8 1: CHN197905170
4 3 4: BSN192504180 DET193209091 CHN197905170 TEX198305140 5 3: BSN192504180 DET193209091 CHN197905170
5 2 35: NYA191908020 DET192009170 PHI192207250 BSN192306270 BSN192408091 PHI193009160 CHA193506140 PHI193707162 CHA193807281 BOS194604211 PHI194905081 PHA195208230 PHI195806012 SFN197005230 BOS197006210 BOS197006250 MIN197009290 CHA197206030 MIL197507272 CHN197604170 CLE197605180 CHN197905170 CHN197905170 KCA197905220 SLN198704180 SFN199304180 CAL199404150 TBA199804130 DET199809140 CLE199904172 COL199908131 COL199908131 KCA200209080 DET201009250 ATL201205020 4 2: CHN197905170 COL199908131
6 2 3: BSN192306270 CHN197905170 CHN197905170 4 1: CHN197905170
7 2 1: CHN197905170 3 1: CHN197905170
8 1 56: WS1190106100 BRO191009300 BSN191107060 SLN191306250 SLF191406160 BRO191905150 WS1192005200 NY1192208060 DET192305140 PIT192307230 DET192807261 PIT192906150 CLE193104280 PIT193307120 DET193308051 PHI193707162 BRO194005302 WS1194307230 DET194708200 PHI194708241 CHN194805160 DET194905030 DET195105010 PHA195305172 MLN195408291 DET195906290 CIN196606020 OAK196906210 CAL197007240 DET197008010 LAN197009230 CHA197206030 CHA197307082 NYA197608220 CHN197905170 CIN198005020 OAK198307030 MON198407240 NYA198706260 SEA199109230 COL199406282 PHI199505280 CLE199808280 MIL200005190 CHA200104060 CLE200108050 COL200206200 KCA200209080 TEX200405080 TEX200405080 KCA200608230 CIN200705250 BAL200908160 DET201206150 BOS201208230 SEA201508080 2 1: TEX200405080
9 1 17: BRO191905150 PIT192307230 DET192807261 DET193308051 DET194708200 PHI194708241 DET194905030 OAK196906210 LAN197009230 CHA197307082 OAK198307030 NYA198706260 COL199406282 PHI199505280 TEX200405080 KCA200608230 BAL200908160 1 17: BRO191905150 PIT192307230 DET192807261 DET193308051 DET194708200 PHI194708241 DET194905030 OAK196906210 LAN197009230 CHA197307082 OAK198307030 NYA198706260 COL199406282 PHI199505280 TEX200405080 KCA200608230 BAL200908160
10 1 7: BRO191905150 DET192807261 OAK196906210 OAK198307030 NYA198706260 TEX200405080 KCA200608230 1 7: BRO191905150 DET192807261 OAK196906210 OAK198307030 NYA198706260 TEX200405080 KCA200608230

I went above ten runs scored in an inning but it gets uninteresting quickly. While searching through games with higher number of runs scored in an inning I came across two games I found interesting in some way.

First, I believe this game has the most runs scored in a single inning in modern baseball.

Spoiler SelectShow

Second, the start of this game must have been extremely depressing for any Reds fans following the game.

Spoiler SelectShow

Game 2 Recap: Twins 9, Royals 1

When Derek Falvey and Thad Levine were hired to run the Twins, much was made about their emphasis on "analytics".  These two men, we were told, were the men who were going to bring the Twins into the twenty-first century.  We would see new strategies that Twins teams had not previously employed.  I think, two games into the season, we are already starting to see that.

The main strategy the Twins have employed so far is to score several runs per game while limiting the other team to just one.  This strategy is foreign to Twins fans, and may take some getting used to.  So far, however, it seems to be effective.  Yes, it's a small sample size, but many experts believe that this strategy will continue to work if the Twins will just stick with it.

It's a strategy that has at least three components.  One of them is to score six runs in the seventh inning of every game.  A second one is to have you starting pitcher give up exactly one run:  no more, no less.  A third is to have your relief pitchers give up zero runs.  Again, these concepts may seem radical to Twins fans,  They are certainly different from what we've seen in recent years.  And, of course, two games are not enough to know whether these things will continue to bear fruit over the long-term.  Still, I think the Twins should continue using them as long as they're working.

Looking at the game a bit more seriously, Hector Santiago managed to pitch five innings and just give up one run despite throwing just seven first-pitch strikes in twenty attempts.  He apparently did better on second, third, and fourth pitches, as he threw 52 strikes out of 88 pitches.  That means that, other than the first pitch, he threw strikes about two-thirds of the time, which isn't bad at all.  Obviously, starting with ball one is not the recommended procedure, but if you can throw enough other strikes, and are helped out by facing a team that doesn't walk much, you can get away with it.  Watching on TV, I wondered if perhaps his back was bothering him--I saw him appear to try to be stretching it out a few times between pitches.  If so, that would account for him having trouble getting the ball down.  If it was bothering him, it is hoped that he was simply having trouble getting loose on a chilly day, rather than something that will be a chronic problem.

When Santiago came out after five innings, Tyler Duffey came in.  Duffey is supposedly the "long man", but he pitched only one inning.  Now, Molitor has expressed a preference--shared by many managers--of getting as many players into a game as early in the season as possible.  That may be all he was doing here, and if so I have no problem with it.  On the other hand, Molitor has seemed to believe that relief pitchers can work no more than one inning per game, which is one of the reasons the Twins always think they need eight relief pitchers.  I'm not upset about this, but it is something to keep an eye on as the season rolls along.

Byron Buxton got an infield single, which I assume sent Dick Bremer into all kinds of ecstasies.  Bremer was talking earlier in the game about how Buxton needs to hit more "line drives and ground balls".  I'm all for having Buxton hit line drives--it's a good idea for almost every batter to hit line drives.  But ground balls?  No.  It amazes me that someone will talk about how pitchers need to keep the ball down and force the opposing batters to hit ground balls, and then turn around and recommend that your own batters hit ground balls.  Yes, Buxton is a fast man, but he's not going to beat out very many two-hoppers to the shortstop.  If he hits ground balls consistently, the number of infield singles he gets will be dwarfed by the number of ground outs he makes.

Buxton is 1-for-10 on the young season, to which I say, so what?  There won't be five batters in the majors who don't go 1-for-10 at some point in the season.  If he does it in June, no one will even notice.  I don't think I'd have started the season with Buxton batting third, but having decided to do it, the Twins need to leave him there for a substantial period of time and give it a chance to work.  In other words, if they thought they had good reasons to bat him third at the start of the season, nothing that happens in the first couple of weeks should convince them that they were wrong.  Leave him alone and see what happens.

I find it interesting the Robbie Grossman has started the season 0-for-6, and yet I don't hear any of the complaints about his slow start that I hear about Buxton.  Yes, Grossman has drawn a few walks, and yes, there are different expectations.  Still, I think if Buxton had started 0-for-6 with three walks, the reaction would be quite different than it is for Grossman.

The Twins are 2-0 and in first place, and it feels good to be able to say that.  They go for the series sweep this afternoon, and it feels good to be able to say that, too.  It'll be Jason Hammel going for Kansas City and Kyle Gibson pitching for Our Heroes.  If the Twins use the same strategy they've used in the first two games, I predict another victory.  Go Twins!