Since Nolasco did so well last time against the Royals, the schedule makers kindly arranged for him to face the Royals again. The Royals are coming off a sweep of the Astros, but anyone could do that (except the Yankees).
BR's SRS score has the Twins tops in the division with a 0.6. I'm sure it will improve greatly after the 149-game win streak finishes.
After a surprisingly pleasant start to the season, the suck has returned to Target Field. The Royals are not expected to be as good as the A's. That bodes well for avoiding another sweep.
The BBWAA announces its Hall of Fame results on Wednesday. I wanted to see what the WGOM thought about this year's ballot. The rules are the same as the BBWAA ballot: pick anyone you want up to ten. Here's baseball-reference's page on the ballot.
Last year Mauer hit .324/.404/.476 in 113 games: 75 at catcher, 29 at DH, and 8 at first. Let's assume he does similar in 2014 but with 150 games all at first.
DRS rates Mauer's defense over a full year (unsure if that's 150 or 162 games) at +2 runs; UZR says +8 runs; TZL says +7 runs. I'm going to assume +5 runs.
Extrapolating things a bit to more games, but at first, gives the following rWAR figures.
Year
G
PA
Rbat
Rbaser
Rdp
Rfield
Rpos
RAA
WAA
Rrep
RAR
WAR
2013
113
508
26
-1
1
6
2
34
3.8
17
51
5.4
2014
150
654
34
-1
0
5
-12
26
2.9
22
48
5.3
Almost exactly the same. A large part of that is due to many more plate appearances. I don't know how much his defense will improve at first given experience. DRS really liked him this year, but UZR didn't. If instead he averages +10 runs at first, that's bordering on a six-win season.