Category Archives: MLB

WGOM’s Prediction for BBWAA 2014 Hall of Fame Ballot

Because Morris.

Who do you think the BBWAA elects into the Hall of Fame?

  • Greg Maddux (24%, 17 Votes)
  • Frank Thomas (19%, 13 Votes)
  • Tom Glavine (14%, 10 Votes)
  • Craig Biggio (11%, 8 Votes)
  • Alan Trammell (4%, 3 Votes)
  • Tim Raines (4%, 3 Votes)
  • Mike Piazza (4%, 3 Votes)
  • Jeff Bagwell (3%, 2 Votes)
  • Roger Clemens (3%, 2 Votes)
  • Don Mattingly (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Larry Walker (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Jack Morris (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Mike Mussina (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Curt Schilling (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Jacque Jones (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Sammy Sosa (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Barry Bonds (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Rafael Palmeiro (1%, 1 Votes)
  • Richie Sexson (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Lee Smith (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Kenny Rogers (0%, 0 Votes)
  • J.T. Snow (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Mike Timlin (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Hideo Nomo (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Armando Benitez (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Sean Casey (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Ray Durham (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Eric Gagne (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Luis Gonzalez (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Todd Jones (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Jeff Kent (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Paul Lo Duca (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Edgar Martinez (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Fred McGriff (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Mark McGwire (0%, 0 Votes)
  • Moises Alou (0%, 0 Votes)

Total Voters: 18

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Quick Thoughts on Mauer at First

Last year Mauer hit .324/.404/.476 in 113 games: 75 at catcher, 29 at DH, and 8 at first. Let's assume he does similar in 2014 but with 150 games all at first.

DRS rates Mauer's defense over a full year (unsure if that's 150 or 162 games) at +2 runs; UZR says +8 runs; TZL says +7 runs. I'm going to assume +5 runs.

Extrapolating things a bit to more games, but at first, gives the following rWAR figures.

YearGPARbatRbaserRdpRfieldRposRAAWAARrepRARWAR
201311350826-1162343.817515.4
201415065434-105-12262.922485.3

Almost exactly the same. A large part of that is due to many more plate appearances. I don't know how much his defense will improve at first given experience. DRS really liked him this year, but UZR didn't. If instead he averages +10 runs at first, that's bordering on a six-win season.