This is it, the final MLB game of the season. Extract the maximum amount of baseball enjoyment you can because you have only the winter leagues and a stove of indeterminate heat until spring training. Or, you know, there's some other sport happening now too. Finally, there's a bracket that someone will win tonight.
Game 6 back at Houston. Normally this would be good news for Houston but in this world series the home team has lost every game. Does that continue today or is there a regression to the normal and Houston wins this one and the World Series? Strasburg vs. Verlander so should be a doozy of a pitching match-up.
The series is tied 2-2 and Max Sherzer is a scratch tonight with pulsations in his trapezoid or something. I'd say that shifts the edge to the Astros, but I've been wrong before. Play ball!
Before Game 1, ZiPS had the Astros at 59.7% chance of winning. After Cole losing for the first time since the Nationals were bad, now the Nationals have a 57.8% chance of winning. However, the Astros still maintain a greater than 50% chance of winning every game of the series.
Game 1 of the 2019 World Series, Washington Nationals versus the Houston Astros. This one promises to be a series of excellent starting pitching on both sides and will be fun to see how each dominant starter matches up. Tonight Max Scherzer (who’s given up 1 earned run in 15 playoff innings this year) v. Gerrit Cole (who’s given up 1 earned run in 22.2 playoff innings this year). Which team will get to the pitcher first?
Fast forward through a pleasingly error-filled Yankees loss and that probability is now 92%. They also have an improbable 65% chance at winning it all. That unfortunately means another short series and lots of waiting until the World Series.
I opined to someone that I'm not sure if this series will make it back to St. Louis. I doubt there will be a sweep but winning two games against Strasburg, Corbin, and Sánchez seems unlikely.